{"id":105474,"date":"2025-10-13T07:48:26","date_gmt":"2025-10-13T07:48:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/?p=105474"},"modified":"2025-10-13T07:48:26","modified_gmt":"2025-10-13T07:48:26","slug":"alman-otomotiv-sektorundeki-kriz-derinlesiyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/2025\/10\/13\/alman-otomotiv-sektorundeki-kriz-derinlesiyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Alman otomotiv sekt\u00f6r\u00fcndeki kriz derinle\u015fiyor"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><p>Alman otomotiv \u00fcreticileri, elektrikli ara\u00e7lara ge\u00e7i\u015fin y\u00fcksek maliyetleri ile m\u00fccadele ederken \u00c7in ve Avrupa&#8217;dan gelen zay\u0131f talep \u0131\u015f\u0131\u011f\u0131nda maliyetleri d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmek ve rekabet g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc korumak i\u00e7in ciddi bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda.<\/p>\n<p>Son y\u0131llarda otomobil end\u00fcstrisinde \u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131r a\u00e7an teknolojilerin \u00c7in ve ABD&#8217;den gelmesi Avrupa kamuoyunda tart\u0131\u015fma konusu olurken, \u00c7inli \u00fcreticilerin gittik\u00e7e artan rekabeti, Alman otomobil \u00fcreticisi Volkswagen\u2019in tarihi i\u015ften \u00e7\u0131karma ve fabrika kapatma planlar\u0131 bu tart\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131.<\/p>\n<div>\n<p>Volkswagen\u2019in karar\u0131 Alman otomotiv sanayisinin i\u00e7inde bulundu\u011fu krizi derinle\u015ftirirken, otomotiv sekt\u00f6r\u00fc, y\u00fcksek vergi oranlar\u0131, artan elektrik fiyatlar\u0131, geni\u015f b\u00fcrokrasi nedeniyle \u00fclkede rekabet g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc kaybediyor.<\/p>\n<p>Otomotiv end\u00fcstrisinin zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 Alman yetkilileri d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fcr\u00fcrken, ekonominin b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 yava\u015flatmaya devam edece\u011fi de\u011ferlendiriliyor.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>Otomotiv sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde fazla katma de\u011fer ve istihdam\u0131n Almanya&#8217;da kalmas\u0131 i\u00e7in siyasi irade \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131 yap\u0131l\u0131rken, Alman siyasilerin \u00c7in ile otomobil tarifeleri konusunda ya\u015fanan anla\u015fmazl\u0131klar, y\u00fcksek elektrik fiyatlar\u0131 ve Avrupa Birli\u011fi \u00e7evre d\u00fczenlemeleri konusunda manevra yapamamas\u0131 dikkati \u00e7ekiyor.<\/p>\n<p><b> Otomotiv sekt\u00f6r\u00fc \u00fclkede katma de\u011ferin y\u00fczde 5&#8217;ini olu\u015fturuyor <\/b><\/p>\n<p>Alman otomotiv end\u00fcstrisindeki kriz, g\u00f6zden ka\u00e7an trendlerin, yap\u0131sal sorunlar\u0131n ve jeopolitik risklerin karma\u015f\u0131k bir etkile\u015fimiyle ortaya \u00e7\u0131karken, otomotiv end\u00fcstrisi bir zamanlar Alman ekonomisinin bel kemi\u011fini olu\u015fturuyordu.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>Sekt\u00f6r, Almanya\u2019da toplam katma de\u011ferin y\u00fczde 5&#8217;ini olu\u015ftururken istihdam\u0131n y\u00fczde 3&#8217;\u00fcn\u00fc sa\u011fl\u0131yor. Gelir a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan ise a\u00e7\u0131k ara en b\u00fcy\u00fck sanayi sekt\u00f6r\u00fc.<\/p>\n<p>Alman otomotiv \u00fcreticileri ge\u00e7en y\u0131l 272,6 milyar avro de\u011ferinde ihracat yapt\u0131. Bu da toplam ihracat\u0131n y\u00fczde 17,3&#8217;\u00fcne denk geliyor.<\/p>\n<p>Haziran 2024 itibar\u0131yla Alman otomotiv sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde tedarik\u00e7iler hari\u00e7 yakla\u015f\u0131k 773 bin ki\u015finin istihdam edildi\u011fi kay\u0131tlara ge\u00e7erken, sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn istihdam\u0131 2023\u2019e g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 0,8 azald\u0131.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>Sanayide \u00e7al\u0131\u015fanlar\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 14&#8217;\u00fc otomotiv sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde. Bu da otomotiv sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fc, 952 bin \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan\u0131 olan makine m\u00fchendisli\u011finden sonra i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan en b\u00fcy\u00fck ikinci sanayi sekt\u00f6r\u00fc konumuna ta\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>Bu arada, yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 13&#8217;l\u00fck pay\u0131yla ABD, Alman otomobil ihracat\u0131n\u0131n en \u00f6nemli pazar\u0131, ABD\u2019yi Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k ve \u00c7in takip ediyor.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p><b> Alman ekonomisi b\u00fcy\u00fcmede zorlan\u0131yor <\/b><\/p>\n<p>Yap\u0131sal sorunlar\u0131n da ekonomiyi frenledi\u011fi Almanya&#8217;da, bir zamanlar olduk\u00e7a ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 olan &#8220;Ucuz enerji ve ara mal\u0131 ithal et, bunlar\u0131 i\u015fle ve y\u00fcksek kaliteye sahip mal olarak &#8216;Made in Germany&#8217; alg\u0131s\u0131yla pahal\u0131 bir bi\u00e7imde ihra\u00e7 et&#8221; ba\u015fl\u0131kl\u0131 i\u015f modeli art\u0131k i\u015fe yaram\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>Kovid-19 salg\u0131n\u0131, tedarik zinciri kesintileri, Rusya-Ukrayna Sava\u015f\u0131 gibi son d\u00f6nemde ya\u015fanan \u00e7ok say\u0131da kriz, Alman ekonomisinin zay\u0131f y\u00f6nlerini su y\u00fcz\u00fcne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131rken, \u00fclkenin; jeopolitik sorunlar, iklim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi, durgun ekonomi ve demografik zorluklar\u0131n \u00fcstesinden gelme konusunda birtak\u0131m sorunlarla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya bulunmas\u0131 da dikkati \u00e7ekiyor.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>Almanya&#8217;n\u0131n halen &#8220;kendi \u00fcretti\u011fi b\u00fcrokrasi, kurallar ve prosed\u00fcrler alt\u0131nda da ezildi\u011fi&#8221; belirtiliyor.<\/p>\n<p>Alman ekonomisi, &#8220;\u00c7ok az yat\u0131r\u0131m, \u00e7ok fazla b\u00fcrokrasi ve a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 y\u00fcksek lokasyon maliyetleriyle&#8221; s\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131rken, i\u00e7 ve d\u0131\u015f siyasi \u00e7alkant\u0131lar\u0131n ortas\u0131nda Avrupa&#8217;da ve uluslararas\u0131 alanda geride kalarak zemin kaybediyor. Tarihsel olarak k\u00fcreselle\u015fme ve ucuz enerji girdilerine dayanarak \u00fccretlerin ve ya\u015fam standartlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckselmesini sa\u011flayan Alman b\u00fcy\u00fcme modeli yap\u0131sal zorluklar ve jeopolitik risklerle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>K\u00fcresel ticarette korumac\u0131l\u0131k art\u0131p bir taraftan Rusya-Ukrayna Sava\u015f\u0131 enerji maliyetlerini y\u00fckseltirken, Almanya&#8217;n\u0131n reel GSYH b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi Kovid-19\u2019dan beri G7\u2019de en alt s\u0131ralar\u0131nda yer al\u0131yor. Ekonomide ABD ve \u00c7in&#8217;e ticari ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131k, y\u00fcksek enerji fiyatlar\u0131, yat\u0131r\u0131m harcamalar\u0131n\u0131n yetersizli\u011fi ve k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015fen demografik ko\u015fullar gibi zorluklar s\u00f6z konusu.<\/p>\n<p>\u0130hracata ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 olan ve \u00fclkenin GSYH&#8217;nin neredeyse y\u00fczde 30&#8217;unu olu\u015fturan Alman sanayisi k\u00fcresel ekonomideki yava\u015flamadan, artan \u00c7in rekabetinden ve Rusya-Ukrayna Sava\u015f\u0131&#8217;ndan sonra y\u00fcksek enerji fiyatlar\u0131ndan olumsuz etkileniyor.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>Y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci \u00e7eyre\u011finde y\u00fczde 0,3 k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclen \u00fclke ekonomisi, \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte y\u00fczde 0,2 b\u00fcy\u00fcme kaydederek teknik resesyona girmekten kurtulmu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n<p>H\u00fck\u00fcmet, ekonomide bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 0,2 k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclme bekliyor. Ekonomi bu y\u0131l da k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcl\u00fcrse 2023&#8217;te oldu\u011fu gibi G7 ekonomileri aras\u0131nda daralan tek \u00fclke olacak.<\/p>\n<p>\u00dclkede Sosyal Demokrat Parti (SPD) ile Ye\u015filler ve H\u00fcr Demokrat Parti\u2019nin (FDP) olu\u015fturdu\u011fu koalisyon h\u00fck\u00fcmeti, iklim hedefleri, eyalet se\u00e7imlerindeki yenilgiler ve ekonomideki s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar nedeniyle ya\u015fanan son tart\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n ard\u0131ndan 6 Kas\u0131m\u2019da da\u011f\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Yakla\u015f\u0131k 20 y\u0131l sonra ilk kez erken se\u00e7ime gidecek olan \u00fclkede se\u00e7im tarihi 23 \u015eubat olarak planlan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>Bu arada ocak ay\u0131nda yeniden ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 olarak yemin edecek olan Trump, se\u00e7imi kazan\u0131rsa d\u0131\u015f ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 azaltmak ve yerli \u00fcretimi desteklemek i\u00e7in g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergilerini \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde art\u0131raca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klam\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Analistler, Trump\u2019\u0131n AB ithalat\u0131na g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergileri yoluyla daha fazla korumac\u0131 bir politika uygulamas\u0131n\u0131n ihracata dayal\u0131 Alman ekonomisi i\u00e7in iyiye i\u015faret olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kaydediyor. ABD, Alman mallar\u0131n\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck al\u0131c\u0131s\u0131 konumunda ve Almanya&#8217;n\u0131n ihracat\u0131n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 10&#8217;una sahip.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p><b> \u00c7inli \u015firketler elektrikli hareketlili\u011fe erken yat\u0131r\u0131m yaparken, Alman \u015firketler teredd\u00fctte kald\u0131 <\/b><\/p>\n<p>Alman otomotiv end\u00fcstrisi uzun s\u00fcre geleneksel yanmal\u0131 motorlara ba\u011fl\u0131 kalarak, elektrikli hareketlili\u011fe (elektromobiliteye) yat\u0131r\u0131m yapamaya teredd\u00fctle yakla\u015f\u0131rken, Tesla ve BYD gibi \u00c7inli \u015firketler elektrikli hareketlili\u011fe erken yat\u0131r\u0131m yapt\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Uzmanlar, Alman otomotiv \u00fcreticilerinin, ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7ten yanmal\u0131 motor modellerini ihra\u00e7 etmeye odakland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirterek, d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131 hafife alan bu \u00fcreticilerin elektrikli hareketlili\u011fe ge\u00e7i\u015fi ka\u00e7\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 kanaatinde.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>Elektrikli ara\u00e7lara ge\u00e7i\u015f, otomotiv sekt\u00f6r\u00fc i\u00e7in \u00fclkede ve Avrupa Birli\u011fi (AB) nezdinde \u00e7e\u015fitli d\u00fczenlemeler ve ham madde tedariki nedeniyle zorlu bir s\u00fcre\u00e7 i\u00e7erisinde. Sekt\u00f6r, Asyal\u0131 \u00fcreticilerin hakim oldu\u011fu batarya teknolojisine b\u00fcy\u00fck yat\u0131r\u0131mlar yaparken, artan maliyetlerle bo\u011fu\u015fmak zorunda kal\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>Alman h\u00fck\u00fcmetinin Ulusal Otomobil Platformu (NPM) taraf\u0131ndan yap\u0131lan bir \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmaya g\u00f6re, \u00fclkenin yanmal\u0131 motorlar\u0131 b\u0131rak\u0131p elektrikli otomobillere ge\u00e7mesi de pahal\u0131ya mal olacak.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>Elektrikli otomobile ge\u00e7i\u015fle \u00fclkede 2030&#8217;a kadar 410 bin ki\u015finin i\u015fsiz kalmas\u0131 bekleniyor. Ya\u015fanacak i\u015f kayb\u0131n\u0131n ana nedeni de elektrikli motorlar\u0131n petrolle \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan motorlara g\u00f6re daha az par\u00e7a bulundurdu\u011fu i\u00e7in \u00fcretimde daha az i\u015f\u00e7iye ihtiya\u00e7 duyulmas\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>\u0130\u00e7ten yanmal\u0131 bir motora en az 1200 par\u00e7a monte edilirken, elektrik motorunda yakla\u015f\u0131k 200 adet par\u00e7a ile \u00fcretim yap\u0131labiliyor. Otomobil \u00fcretiminin ve kullan\u0131lan par\u00e7a say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesi bir\u00e7ok otomobil par\u00e7a tedarik\u00e7isini etkiliyor ve i\u015f\u00e7i \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lmas\u0131na sebep oluyor.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>Elektrikli otomobil \u00fcretiminde katma de\u011ferin \u00f6nemli bir k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturan batarya h\u00fccresi \u00fcretiminde Alman otomotiv sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn ge\u00e7 kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 da ifade ediliyor.<\/p>\n<p><b> Kriz tedarik\u00e7ileri de vuruyor <\/b><\/p>\n<p>Almanya&#8217;da otomotiv \u00fcreticilerinin i\u00e7inde bulundu\u011fu derin kriz, ba\u015fta yedek par\u00e7a olmak \u00fczere tedarik\u00e7ileri de olumsuz etkiliyor.<\/p>\n<p>Tedarik\u00e7iler d\u00fc\u015fen sipari\u015fler ve artan maliyetlerle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kal\u0131rken, bir\u00e7o\u011fu elektrikli hareketlilik gereksinimlerini kar\u015f\u0131lamak i\u00e7in i\u015ften \u00e7\u0131karmalar veya yeniden yap\u0131lanma planl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>Son aylarda Volkswagen, Ford, ZF WABCO ve Continental, fabrikalar\u0131nda binlerce i\u015f\u00e7inin i\u015ften at\u0131laca\u011f\u0131 haberlerinin bas\u0131nda yer almas\u0131 dikkati \u00e7ekiyordu.<\/p>\n<p>Alman otomotiv ve sanayi tedarik\u00e7isi Schaeffler, 5 Kas\u0131m\u2019da 2 bin 800&#8217;\u00fc Almanya&#8217;da olmak \u00fczere Avrupa&#8217;da 4 bin 700 ki\u015fiyi i\u015ften \u00e7\u0131karaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 duyurmu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n<p>23 Kas\u0131m\u2019da otomotiv sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn \u00f6nemli tedarik\u00e7ilerinden Bosch, otomotiv biriminde 3 bin 800&#8217;\u00fc Almanya&#8217;da olmak \u00fczere, d\u00fcnya genelinde 5 bin 500 ki\u015fiyi i\u015ften \u00e7\u0131karaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Bosch, ilaveten \u00fcretim tesislerinde k\u0131sa mesaiye gidilece\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>Otomobil par\u00e7a tedarik\u00e7isi Johann Vitz GmbH de 106 y\u0131ll\u0131k ge\u00e7mi\u015finin ard\u0131ndan iflas ba\u015fvurusunda bulunarak yeniden yap\u0131lanma s\u00fcrecine girdi.<\/p>\n<p><b> \u0130stihdam kayb\u0131n\u0131n devam etmesi bekleniyor <\/b><\/p>\n<p>Alman Otomobilciler Birli\u011fi de (VDA) elektrikli ara\u00e7lara ge\u00e7i\u015fin Alman otomotiv end\u00fcstrisine gelecek on y\u0131l i\u00e7inde 140 bin ek istihdama mal olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 hesapl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>Sekt\u00f6rdeki istihdam yap\u0131s\u0131 \u201cdemografi ve karbonsuzla\u015fma\u201d ile k\u00f6kl\u00fc bir d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcmle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya ve bu d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcn 2035\u2019e kadar yakla\u015f\u0131k 190 bin ki\u015finin i\u015f kayb\u0131na yol a\u00e7mas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>VDA\u2019n\u0131n yapt\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 ara\u015ft\u0131rmaya g\u00f6re, 2035\u2019e kadar sekt\u00f6rdeki i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc arz\u0131 demografik nedenlerden dolay\u0131 y\u00fczde 6,3 d\u00fc\u015fecek.<\/p>\n<p>Almanya\u2019da 2019-2023 d\u00f6neminde istihdamda g\u00f6r\u00fclen 46 bin ki\u015filik azal\u0131\u015f temelde elektrikli ara\u00e7lara ge\u00e7i\u015ften kaynaklan\u0131rken, azalma e\u011filimi devam ederse 2035\u2019e gelindi\u011finde otomotiv sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde istihdam say\u0131s\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131k 190 bin ki\u015fi d\u00fc\u015fecek.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p><b> \u00c7in etkisi <\/b><\/p>\n<p>Almanya&#8217;n\u0131n di\u011fer b\u00fcy\u00fck Avrupa ekonomilerine k\u0131yasla \u00c7in&#8217;e daha fazla ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 olmas\u0131 dikkati \u00e7ekerken, \u00c7in&#8217;in Almanya&#8217;dan sat\u0131n ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 otomobilleri daha fazla \u00fcretebilmesi ekonominin b\u00fcy\u00fcmesini zorla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>\u00c7in, ba\u015fta Alman otomobil \u00fcreticileri olmak \u00fczere Alman \u015firketleri i\u00e7in hem sat\u0131\u015f hem de b\u00fcy\u00fcme a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131yor. Alman \u015firketleri, k\u00fcresel pazar i\u00e7in \u00c7in&#8217;deki en son teknolojileri geli\u015ftiriyor ve test ediyor. Alman sanayisinde kullan\u0131lan ara \u00fcr\u00fcnlerin \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011funun \u00c7in&#8217;den geldi\u011fi belirtiliyor.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>Alman otomobilleri \u00c7in&#8217;de yo\u011fun talep g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Alman otomotiv \u00fcreticileri Volkswagen, Daimler ve BMW gelirlerinin y\u00fczde 30\u2019dan fazlas\u0131n\u0131 \u00c7in\u2019den gelmesi dikkati \u00e7ekiyor.<\/p>\n<p>\u00c7in uzun zamand\u0131r Alman otomobil \u00fcreticileri i\u00e7in merkezi bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme pazar\u0131 olurken, Mercedes, Audi ve BMW gibi markalar b\u00fcy\u00fcyen \u00c7in orta s\u0131n\u0131f\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fck bir pop\u00fclerli\u011fe sahip.<\/p>\n<p>\u00c7inli \u00fcreticiler aray\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde kapat\u0131rken, BYD, Nio ve Geely \u00c7in i\u00e7 pazar\u0131na giderek daha fazla hakim oluyor ve art\u0131k Alman \u00fcreticilerin \u00c7in&#8217;deki pazar pay\u0131 \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>Son y\u0131llarda Avrupa \u00fclkelerinde sat\u0131lan elektrikli otomobillerde \u00c7in \u00fcreticilerinin pay\u0131 h\u0131zla y\u00fckseliyor. \u00c7in&#8217;de \u00fcretilen d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck fiyatl\u0131 ve s\u00fcbvanse edilmi\u015f elektrikli otomobillerin sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 rakiplerini geride b\u0131rak\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>\u00c7in&#8217;de, BYD, SAIC ve Geely gibi markalar ile Tesla ve farkl\u0131 Avrupa \u015firketlerin ara\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n \u00fcretimi yap\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>Alman sanayisinin gittik\u00e7e zay\u0131flamas\u0131, \u00c7inli \u015firketlerin teknolojik olarak aray\u0131 kapatmas\u0131 hatta Uzak Do\u011fulu \u015firketlerin yenilenebilir enerji ve otomotivde Almanlar\u0131 geride b\u0131rakmas\u0131 Almanya&#8217;da &#8220;\u00c7in \u015eoku&#8221; olarak tart\u0131\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p><b> Elektrikli ara\u00e7lara y\u00f6nelik zay\u0131f talep <\/b><\/p>\n<p>Alman \u00fcreticiler, elektrikli model say\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rmalar\u0131na ra\u011fmen, talep beklentilerin alt\u0131nda kalmas\u0131 dikkati \u00e7ekiyor.<\/p>\n<p>Uzmanlar, devlet te\u015fviklerinin yetersiz kalmas\u0131, y\u00fcksek sat\u0131n alma maliyetleri ve s\u00fcrd\u00fcrebilir olmayan \u015farj altyap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 buna neden olarak g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n<p>BYD gibi \u00c7inli \u00fcreticilerin daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck \u00fcretim maliyetlerinden faydalanarak, daha ucuz ve teknolojilik ara\u00e7lar sunmas\u0131 da Alman \u00fcreticileri olumsuz etkiliyor.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p><b> \u00c7in\u2019deki yava\u015flama Alman otomotiv \u00fcreticilerini sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 olumsuz etkiliyor <\/b><\/p>\n<p>\u00c7in&#8217;deki yava\u015flama Alman otomobil \u00fcreticilerin sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 da olumsuz etkilerken, \u00fcreticiler bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in kar tahminini art arda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmek zorunda kal\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>Y\u00fcksek maliyetlerle m\u00fccadele eden Volkswagen (VW) Grubu\u2019nun, temmuz-eyl\u00fcl d\u00f6neminde net kar\u0131 y\u0131ll\u0131k y\u00fczde 64 d\u00fc\u015ferek 1,58 milyar avroya geriledi.<\/p>\n<p>Grubun ge\u00e7en y\u0131l temmuz-eyl\u00fcl d\u00f6neminde 4 milyar 894 milyon avro olan \u00f6zel kalemler \u00f6ncesi kar\u0131 da bu y\u0131l\u0131n \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011finde y\u00fczde 41,7 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 2 milyar 855 milyon avro oldu. Grubun, \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekteki ara\u00e7 sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 ise bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 8,3 d\u00fc\u015ferek 2 milyon 122 bine geriledi.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>Volkswagen&#8217;in i\u015ftiraki Audi&#8217;nin y\u0131l\u0131n \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011finde faaliyet k\u00e2r\u0131 bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine k\u0131yasla y\u00fczde 91 d\u00fc\u015ferek 106 milyon avroya indi.<\/p>\n<p>Yine Alman otomotiv \u00fcreticisi Mercedes-Benz&#8217;in kar\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte \u00c7in&#8217;deki zay\u0131f l\u00fcks otomobil sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 nedeniyle azald\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>\u015eirketin temmuz-eyl\u00fcl d\u00f6neminde d\u00fczeltilmi\u015f faaliyet kar\u0131 (FAV\u00d6K), ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine k\u0131yasla y\u00fczde 48 azalarak 2 milyar 517 milyon avroya geriledi. \u015eirketin net kar\u0131 ise y\u00fczde 53,8 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 1 milyar 719 milyon avroya indi.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>Di\u011fer Alman l\u00fcks otomobil \u00fcreticisi BMW Group\u2019un y\u0131l\u0131n temmuz-eyl\u00fcl d\u00f6neminde kar\u0131 \u00c7in&#8217;deki sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesi ve ara\u00e7lar\u0131n geri \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131lmas\u0131 nedeniyle y\u0131ll\u0131k y\u00fczde 84 d\u00fc\u015ferek 476 milyon avroya indi.<\/p>\n<p>S\u00f6z konusu d\u00f6nemde \u015firketin en b\u00fcy\u00fck pazar\u0131 olan \u00c7in&#8217;deki (Mini markas\u0131 dahil) ara\u00e7 teslimatlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 29,8 azalarak 147 bin 691&#8217;e d\u00fc\u015fmesi dikkati \u00e7ekti.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>BMW, \u00c7in&#8217;deki talebin dura\u011fanla\u015fmas\u0131 nedeniyle sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n etkilendi\u011fini ve t\u00fcketici talebinin zay\u0131f kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bildirerek, bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in sat\u0131\u015f tahminlerini a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n<p><b> Alman otomotiv sekt\u00f6r\u00fcndeki krizin di\u011fer sebepleri <\/b><\/p>\n<p>Almanya&#8217;daki \u00fcretim maliyetleri, y\u00fcksek enerji fiyatlar\u0131 ve \u00fccretler nedeniyle di\u011fer \u00fclkelere k\u0131yasla \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde y\u00fcksek kal\u0131rken, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kar marjl\u0131 giri\u015f seviyesi modellerin bu ko\u015fullar alt\u0131nda karl\u0131 bir \u015fekilde \u00fcretilmesi zor oluyor.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>Almanya&#8217;da bir\u00e7ok otomobil fabrikas\u0131n\u0131n ortalama kapasite kullan\u0131m\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7te iki seviyesine d\u00fc\u015ferken, bu da tesislerin verimlili\u011fini etkiliyor ve ara\u00e7 ba\u015f\u0131na sabit maliyetleri art\u0131r\u0131yor. Bu durumun Alman \u00fcreticilerin maliyet sorununu daha da k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015ftirdi\u011fine ve \u00fclke markalar\u0131n\u0131n daha az rekabet\u00e7i hale getirdi\u011fine vurgu yap\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>Alman otomobil end\u00fcstrisinin bir di\u011fer zay\u0131f noktas\u0131 da dijital teknolojilerin yava\u015f geli\u015fmesi. Tesla&#8217;da standart olan otonom s\u00fcr\u00fc\u015f sistemleri veya yenilik\u00e7i bilgi-e\u011flence \u00f6zelliklerin Alman modellerinde genellikle daha az teknolojik oldu\u011fu ifade ediliyor.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>Avrupa&#8217;daki ekonomik durum otomotiv end\u00fcstrisi \u00fczerinde \u00f6nemli bir bask\u0131 olu\u015ftururken t\u00fcketicinin y\u00fcksek enflasyon sonras\u0131 tasarruf e\u011filiminde olmas\u0131, artan belirsiz ortam ve zay\u0131f ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme bir\u00e7ok t\u00fcketicinin yeni bir araba almak gibi b\u00fcy\u00fck al\u0131mlar\u0131 ertelemesine neden oluyor.<\/p>\n<p>Bu durum \u00f6zellikle \u00fcr\u00fcnleri Asyal\u0131 rakiplerine k\u0131yasla pahal\u0131 olan Alman \u00fcreticileri etkiliyor.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>Uluslararas\u0131 ticari ili\u015fkiler ilave riskler i\u00e7erirken, ABD&#8217;de Donald Trump&#8217;\u0131n yeniden ba\u015fkan se\u00e7ilmesiyle AB&#8217;den gelecek otomobillere olas\u0131 cezaland\u0131r\u0131c\u0131 g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergilerinin, \u00c7in&#8217;in AB&#8217;ye cevap olarak Avrupa&#8217;dan elektrikli otomobillere y\u00f6nelik olas\u0131 yeni vergilerin de durumu daha da k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015ftirebilece\u011fi belirtiliyor.<\/p>\n<p>ABD ve \u00c7in gibi ihracat pazarlar\u0131na olan ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131k Alman otomotiv \u00fcreticilerinin i\u00e7inde bulundu\u011fu krizi daha da k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015ftirirken, Donald Trump&#8217;\u0131n yeniden ba\u015fkan se\u00e7ilmesiyle olas\u0131 cezaland\u0131r\u0131c\u0131 g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergilerinin Volkswagen, BMW ve Mercedes-Benz&#8217;in k\u00e2rlar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde azaltabilece\u011fi belirtiliyor.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>Bu durumun sekt\u00f6r \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131y\u0131 daha da art\u0131rmas\u0131 ve derin istihdam kesintilerine sebep olmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n<p>Kovid-19 pandemisi s\u0131ras\u0131nda elde edilen g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc karlar\u0131n ard\u0131ndan, bir\u00e7ok \u015firket marjlar\u0131na ili\u015fkin ger\u00e7ek\u00e7i olmayan beklentilerini s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcrken, getiriler \u00fczerindeki bu bask\u0131, ara\u015ft\u0131rma ve geli\u015ftirmeye yap\u0131lan uzun vadeli yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 tehlikeye atan a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 kemer s\u0131kma \u00f6nlemlerine yol a\u00e7\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Kaynak :\u00a0<span style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 249, 236); color: rgb(55, 58, 60); font-size: 14px;\">Bloomberg HT<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"display: block; width: 343.125px; color: rgb(55, 58, 60); font-size: 14px; background-color: rgb(255, 249, 236);\"><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bir d\u00f6nem Alman ekonomisinin bel kemi\u011fi ve teknolojik yenili\u011fin sembol\u00fc olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclen Alman otomotiv sekt\u00f6r\u00fc, yap\u0131sal, teknolojik ve jeopolitik zorluklarla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya bulunurken, \u00c7in&#8217;de sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesi ve elektrikli otomobillere talep yetersizli\u011fi sekt\u00f6rdeki krizi derinle\u015ftiriyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":105475,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[1265,380,185,90,711],"class_list":["post-105474","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-alman","tag-cin","tag-ekonomi","tag-is","tag-kar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/105474","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=105474"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/105474\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":105476,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/105474\/revisions\/105476"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/105475"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=105474"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=105474"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=105474"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}