Yok hay\u0131r! \u0130\u00e7 siyasal han\u00e7er s\u00f6ylemine de\u011fil, uluslararas\u0131 han\u00e7erleme \u00f6nerilerine dair bir g\u00f6zlemi sunmak istiyorum.<\/p>\n
G\u00fcn ge\u00e7miyor ki, akademik bir omurgas\u0131 (hen\u00fcz) olmayan jeopolitik analiz alan\u0131nda uzmanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ilan etmi\u015f bir ki\u015fi, kendisi gibi kerameti kendinden menkul bir internet sitesinde (\u00f6rne\u011fin, Brussels Signal: brusselssignal.eu veya National Interest: nationalinterest.org) \u201cRusya da\u011f\u0131l\u0131yor,\u201d \u201c\u00c7in \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fcyor\u201d diye ba\u015flayan ve ABD y\u00f6netimine bu s\u00fcreci h\u0131zland\u0131rmas\u0131 i\u00e7in neler yapmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini anlatan bir yaz\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131n.<\/p>\n
Bu arada, eskilerin R\u00fc\u015fvet-i kel\u00e2m (lip service-g\u00f6stermelik sayg\u0131) dedikleri t\u00fcrden, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye bir ucundan tutup, bir han\u00e7er uzat\u0131yorlar ki, anl\u0131yorsunuz T\u00fcrkiye onlar\u0131n g\u00f6z\u00fcnde hala Osmanl\u0131\u2019y\u0131 y\u0131k\u0131p, onun yerine kurduklar\u0131 s\u00f6z dinleyen bir \u00fclke olsa gerek: T\u00fcrkiye bu han\u00e7eri al\u0131p, \u00f6nce Putin\u2019i, sonra \u015ei\u2019yi s\u0131rt\u0131ndan vursun. Bu zevat\u0131n g\u00f6z\u00fcnde \u00e7ok zor olmasa gerek, uluslar\u0131n uluslara, ittifaklara ihaneti.<\/p>\n
Bu s\u00f6z\u00fcm-ona analizlerin ortak taraf\u0131, etek alt\u0131ndan sopa g\u00f6sterme t\u00fcr\u00fc uzun bir Amerika tasviri ile ba\u015flamas\u0131. Do\u011frudur; ABD \u015fu anda 5 okyanusun tamam\u0131nda donanma bulunduruyor. ABD\u2019den habersiz ba\u015fka bir \u00fclkenin sava\u015f gemisi ba\u011fl\u0131 oldu\u011fu limandan bile ayr\u0131lamaz. ABD\u2019nin elindeki n\u00fckleer silahlar\u0131n say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 savunma ve diplomas\u0131 kurumlar\u0131 bile tam olarak bilmedi\u011fi i\u00e7in, Trump\u2019\u0131n ba\u015fkan oldu\u011fu s\u0131rada sordu\u011fu \u201cKa\u00e7 atom bombam\u0131z var?\u201d sorusuna cevap vermediler. ABD bug\u00fcn istedi\u011fi \u00fclkede, herhangi bir 5 kilometrekare yeri hassas \u015fekilde bombalar! (Bu hassas ABD bombalar\u0131n\u0131 Netanyahu ge\u00e7en hafta Gazze\u2019de kulland\u0131; \u00e7evredeki b\u00fct\u00fcn \u00e7ad\u0131rlar, kad\u0131nlar ve \u00e7ocuklar yand\u0131.) ve evet do\u011frudur: ABD\u2019nin d\u00fcnya \u00e7evresinde 750 askeri \u00fcss\u00fc var; buradan hareketle istedi\u011fi (orta boy) bir \u00fclkeyi en \u00e7ok \u00fc\u00e7 hafta i\u00e7inde i\u015fgal edebilir. (B\u00fcy\u00fck\u00e7e \u00fclkeler biraz daha fazla zaman ve m\u00fcttefik gerektirebilir!)<\/p>\n
Bu analizin devam\u0131 \u015fudur: ABD\u2019nin Bretton Woods, NATO ve Avrupa Ekonomik Toplulu\u011fu (AET, sonradan AB\u2019ye d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc) ile olu\u015fturdu\u011fu k\u00fcresel d\u00fczen (kimi buna Pax Americana-Amerikan Bar\u0131\u015f\u0131 diyor) art\u0131k, korumamas\u0131 gereken \u00fclkeleri (\u00c7in, Rusya ve \u0130ran) ve korumamas\u0131 gereken serbest dola\u015f\u0131m\u0131 (\u00c7in, Rusya ve \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n hammadde ithalat\u0131 ve mamul madde ihracat\u0131) da koruyor.\u00a0<\/p>\n
Hemen hemen b\u00fct\u00fcn makalelerin ortak sonu\u00e7 b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc \u015f\u00f6yle bitiyor: \u201c\u00c7in ABD\u2019nin dostu de\u011fildir, en b\u00fcy\u00fck, en esas hedef \u00c7in\u2019dir. Ama \u00f6nce, \u00c7in-Rusya ittifak\u0131n\u0131 devreden \u00e7\u0131karmak, yani \u00c7in\u2019in elini-kolunu kesmek i\u00e7in Rusya\u2019n\u0131n zay\u0131flat\u0131lmas\u0131, bir bak\u0131ma \u201cterbiye\u201d edilmesi gerekir. Bu s\u00fcrecin ba\u015flamas\u0131 i\u00e7in en uygun hareket noktas\u0131 \u0130ran\u2019d\u0131r.<\/p>\n
Her ne kadar Tahran\u2019daki mollalar bu kan\u0131da de\u011filler ama ABD\u2019li uzmanlara g\u00f6re, \u0130ran\u2019a kar\u015f\u0131 harekat, ancak T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin bu \u00fclkeye sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 koruma kalkan\u0131n\u0131n kald\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131yla m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olur. Z\u0131plama ta\u015f\u0131, Suriye\u2019de kurulan Rojava \u00d6zerk B\u00f6lgesi\u2019dir.\u00a0T\u00fcrkiye bu b\u00f6lgenin varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kabul etmeli ve PKK\u2019n\u0131n Suriye uzant\u0131s\u0131na itirazdan, onlara kar\u015f\u0131 olmaktan (mesela haz\u0131rlanmakta olan s\u0131n\u0131r-\u00f6tesi harekattan) vazge\u00e7melidir. Yani T\u00fcrkiye, Suriye\u2019nin b\u00f6l\u00fcnmesine evet derse, ikinci ad\u0131m \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n, \u015eii Araplar ve PKK\u2019n\u0131n \u0130ran\u2019daki uzant\u0131s\u0131 K\u00fcrdistan \u00d6zg\u00fcr Ya\u015fam Partisi (PJAK) eliyle i\u015fgali ve rejim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fidir.<\/p>\n
B\u00fct\u00fcn bunlar olurken, G\u00fcrcistan\u2019\u0131n NATO\u2019ya al\u0131nmas\u0131 da tamamlan\u0131rsa, Rusya\u2019n\u0131n eli kolu ba\u011flan\u0131r; \u00c7in\u2019e kar\u015f\u0131 hareket ve yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131nda ona ne petrol ne de demir-\u00e7elik veremez. Sonras\u0131nda, \u201cbatmaz u\u00e7ak gemisi\u201d Tayvan \u00fczerinden Mao\u2019nun kurdu\u011fu \u00c7in birli\u011fini bozma harekat\u0131 tamamlan\u0131r. NATO genel sekreteri Stoltenberg\u2019in durduk yerde \u201c\u00c7in Ukrayna Sava\u015f\u0131\u2019n\u0131 k\u00f6r\u00fckl\u00fcyor\u201d diye deme\u00e7ler vermesi; medyan\u0131n \u00c7in Devlet Ba\u015fkan\u0131 \u015ei\u2019nin be\u015f y\u0131l sonra ikinci Avrupa gezisini sanki bir \u00e7\u0131kartma harekat\u0131 imi\u015f gibi abartarak vermesi bo\u015funa de\u011fil.<\/p>\n
Yani b\u00fct\u00fcn bu plan ve program, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin \u0130ran\u2019\u0131 ve Suriye\u2019yi s\u0131rtlar\u0131ndan han\u00e7erlemesini bekliyor.<\/p>\n\n
Kaynak :\u00a0http:\/\/www.milliyet.com.tr\/yazarlar\/hakki-ocal\/kim-kimi-hancerlemeli-7136379<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Yok hay\u0131r! \u0130\u00e7 siyasal han\u00e7er s\u00f6ylemine de\u011fil, uluslararas\u0131 han\u00e7erleme \u00f6nerilerine dair bir g\u00f6zlemi sunmak istiyorum. G\u00fcn ge\u00e7miyor ki, akademik bir omurgas\u0131 (hen\u00fcz) olmayan jeopolitik analiz alan\u0131nda uzmanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ilan etmi\u015f bir ki\u015fi, kendisi gibi …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":34818,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[433,380,499,80,305],"class_list":["post-34817","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-teknoloji","tag-abd","tag-cin","tag-rusya","tag-turkiye","tag-ulke"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/34817","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=34817"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/34817\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":34819,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/34817\/revisions\/34819"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/34818"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=34817"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=34817"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=34817"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}