{"id":60641,"date":"2024-07-14T00:12:04","date_gmt":"2024-07-14T00:12:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/?p=60641"},"modified":"2024-07-14T00:12:04","modified_gmt":"2024-07-14T00:12:04","slug":"hsbc-turkiyenin-buyume-beklentisini-yukseltti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/2024\/07\/14\/hsbc-turkiyenin-buyume-beklentisini-yukseltti\/","title":{"rendered":"HSBC T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisini y\u00fckseltti"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p>HSBC son raporunda T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;ye ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisini yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc revize ederken enflasyon beklentileri de geriledi.<\/p>\n<p>Kurum, ilk \u00e7eyrekte y\u00fczde 5,7 olan g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fcme rakam\u0131 sonras\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini revize etti\u011fini belirtti. 2024 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmini y\u00fczde 3,1&#8217;den y\u00fczde 3,8&#8217;e y\u00fckseltildi, 2025 y\u0131l somu tahmini ise de\u011fi\u015fmeyerek y\u00fczde 3,6 olarak kald\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Raporda s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131 ve\/veya maliye politikas\u0131n\u0131n enflasyonda daha h\u0131zl\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe ve d\u0131\u015f a\u00e7\u0131kta daha h\u0131zl\u0131 iyile\u015fmeye yol a\u00e7aca\u011f\u0131 belirtldi.<\/p>\n<p>Enflasyon tahminlerini ise a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc revize eden kurum 2024 y\u0131l sonu enflasyon tahminini y\u00fczde 48&#8217;den y\u00fczde 44,6, 2025 tahminini y\u00fczde 29&#8217;dan y\u00fczde 27,7&#8217;ye d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fc.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>Analizde para politikas\u0131n\u0131n y\u0131l sonuna kadar de\u011fi\u015fmeyece\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcne yer verildi ve &#8220;Tahminlerimize g\u00f6re reel politika faizi Kas\u0131m itibariyle olduk\u00e7a olumlu olacak ancak yine de 4. \u00e7eyrekte ba\u015flayacak faiz indirimlerinin biraz erken olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz&#8221; ifadesine yer verildi.<\/p>\n<p>Y\u00fcksek enflasyon beklentisi ve fiyatlama davran\u0131\u015flar\u0131nda bozulman\u0131n enflasyon g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc i\u00e7in yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc riskler oldu\u011fu belirtildi.<\/p>\n<p>Kurum ayr\u0131ca bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131\/GSYH tahminini y\u00fczde 6,5&#8217;ten y\u00fczde 5,7&#8217;ye d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fc.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Kaynak :\u00a0<span style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 249, 236); color: rgb(55, 58, 60); font-size: 14px;\">Bloomberg HT<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"display: block; width: 343.125px; color: rgb(55, 58, 60); font-size: 14px; background-color: rgb(255, 249, 236);\"><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>HSBC son raporunda T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;ye ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisini yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc revize ederken enflasyon beklentisini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fc.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":60642,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[44,2843],"class_list":["post-60641","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-enflasyon","tag-tahmini"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/60641","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=60641"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/60641\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":60643,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/60641\/revisions\/60643"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/60642"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=60641"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=60641"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=60641"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}