{"id":71633,"date":"2024-08-19T12:24:05","date_gmt":"2024-08-19T12:24:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/?p=71633"},"modified":"2024-08-19T12:24:05","modified_gmt":"2024-08-19T12:24:05","slug":"eyden-kuresel-buyume-tahmini","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/2024\/08\/19\/eyden-kuresel-buyume-tahmini\/","title":{"rendered":"EY’den k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmini"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Ernst & Young (EY) taraf\u0131ndan payla\u015f\u0131lan K\u00fcresel Ekonomik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm 2024 raporuna g\u00f6re, bu y\u0131l \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme, sene de biraz art\u0131\u015f \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Raporda, k\u00fcresel ekonominin faiz oranlar\u0131ndaki \u00f6nemli art\u0131\u015fa ra\u011fmen dikkat \u00e7ekici bir dayan\u0131kl\u0131l\u0131k g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcrken, 2024’te gayrisafi yurt i\u00e7i has\u0131lan\u0131n (GSY\u0130H) y\u00fczde 3,1 oran\u0131nda \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 olarak b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi ve 2025’te biraz y\u00fckselerek y\u00fczde 3,2’ye \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Geli\u015fmi\u015f ekonomilerde 2023’te y\u00fczde 1,5 ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen gayri safi yurt i\u00e7i has\u0131lan\u0131n (GSY\u0130H), 2024’te y\u00fczde 1,6 ve 2025’te y\u00fczde 1,8 olaca\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcrken, geli\u015fmekte olan piyasalarda ise 2023’teki y\u00fczde 4,2’nin, 2024 ve 2025’te y\u00fczde 4,1’e inmesi bekleniyor.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Geli\u015fmi\u015f ekonomilerdeki b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin temel nedenleri aras\u0131nda, \u00f6zellikle Avrupa ve \u0130ngiltere’de, kademeli olarak daha serbest bir para politikas\u0131 izlenmesi ve enflasyona g\u00f6re d\u00fczenlenmi\u015f gelir b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin toparlanmas\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

2025’e kadar Latin Amerika ile Orta Do\u011fu ve Kuzey Afrika (MENA) b\u00f6lgelerinde hafif bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme ivmesi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

K\u00fcresel enflasyonun 2023’te y\u00fczde 6,2’ye kadar s\u0131\u00e7ramas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan, 2024’te y\u00fczde 4,6’ya ve 2025’te y\u00fczde 3,5’e d\u00fc\u015ferek so\u011fumas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n

Rapor verileri \u0131\u015f\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, k\u00fcresel \u00e7apta enflasyondaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f devam ederken, merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n para politikas\u0131n\u0131 kademeli olarak gev\u015fetmesi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

\u015eirketlerin yeni normalin ger\u00e7eklerine uyum sa\u011flamas\u0131 gerekiyor<\/b><\/p>\n

T\u00fcm beklentiler ve geli\u015fmeler do\u011frultusunda EY K\u00fcresel Ekonomik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm 2024 raporu, \u015firketlerin ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 olmas\u0131 i\u00e7in ekonomik faaliyet, yetenek, enflasyon, merkez bankalar\u0131, mali politika ve jeopolitik gibi birka\u00e7 temel alanda yeni normalin ger\u00e7eklerine uyum sa\u011flamas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini ortaya koyuyor.<\/p>\n

EY K\u00fcresel Ekonomik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm 2024 raporu, i\u015f liderlerinin yeni normalde ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 olmak i\u00e7in benimseyece\u011fi d\u00f6rt stratejiyi g\u00f6zler \u00f6n\u00fcne seriyor. Rapor, bu stratejilerin, belirsizliklere ra\u011fmen i\u015fletmelerin b\u00fcy\u00fcme, dayan\u0131kl\u0131l\u0131k, yenilik\u00e7ilik, \u00e7eviklik ve karl\u0131l\u0131k sa\u011flamas\u0131na yard\u0131mc\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131na dikkati \u00e7ekiyor.<\/p>\n

Dayan\u0131kl\u0131l\u0131k i\u00e7in ge\u00e7mi\u015f krizlerden ders \u00e7\u0131kararak stratejileri d\u00fczenli olarak g\u00f6zden ge\u00e7irmek ve portf\u00f6yleri de\u011fi\u015fen ekonomik ve jeopolitik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcme uyarlamak gerekiyor. \u0130\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc, tedarik zincirlerini ve teknoloji uygulamalar\u0131n\u0131, yeni tedarik ko\u015fullar\u0131na ve jeopolitik etkilere kar\u015f\u0131 daha dayan\u0131kl\u0131 hale getirmeye odaklanman\u0131n alt\u0131 \u00e7iziliyor.<\/p>\n

“Verimlili\u011fi art\u0131rmak ve maliyetleri d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmek gerekiyor”<\/b><\/p>\n

Yenilik\u00e7ilik taraf\u0131nda gelece\u011fin i\u015fletmesini in\u015fa etmek i\u00e7in \u00fcretken yapay zeka (GenAI) ve d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr\u00fcc\u00fc teknolojilere \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde yat\u0131r\u0131m yapmak, teknolojik geli\u015fmelerin bir ad\u0131m \u00f6n\u00fcnde olmak, verimlili\u011fi art\u0131rmak ve maliyetleri d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmek i\u00e7in dijitalle\u015fmedeki k\u00fcresel e\u011filimlere uyum sa\u011flamak ve karbon emisyonunu azaltmak gerekiyor.<\/p>\n

\u00c7eviklik k\u0131sm\u0131nda \u00e7e\u015fitli ekonomik senaryolara ve piyasa ko\u015fullar\u0131na h\u0131zla uyum sa\u011flayabilen esnek planlama s\u00fcre\u00e7leri geli\u015ftirilmesi \u00f6neriliyor. Stratejiler \u00fczerinde dinamik fiyatland\u0131rma modellerinin uygulanmas\u0131 ve jeopolitik geli\u015fmeler hakk\u0131nda bilgi sahibi olunmas\u0131 \u00f6nem te\u015fkil ediyor.<\/p>\n

Karl\u0131l\u0131k i\u00e7in ise farkl\u0131 b\u00f6lgeler ve sekt\u00f6rlerde olu\u015fabilecek ekonomik senkronizasyonun etkisi g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcnde bulundurularak, gelecek d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcmleri finanse etmek ad\u0131na maliyetlerin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclmesi ve s\u00fcre\u00e7 verimlili\u011finin art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131na odaklanmak gerekiyor. Gerekli olmas\u0131 durumunda stratejik karar alma ve elden \u00e7\u0131karmalar yoluyla finansal operasyonlar\u0131n optimize edilmesi gerekti\u011fine dikkati \u00e7eken raporda, mali politika bask\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 sosyal, savunma, iklim ve dijitalle\u015fme alanlar\u0131nda yat\u0131r\u0131m ihtiyac\u0131 ile dengelenmesi gereklili\u011fi belirtiliyor.<\/p>\n

A\u00e7\u0131klamada g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flerine yer verilen, EY T\u00fcrkiye Strateji ve Kurumsal Finansman B\u00f6l\u00fcm Ba\u015fkan\u0131 \u00d6zge G\u00fcrsoy B\u00fcy\u00fckav\u015far, i\u015f liderlerinin de\u011fi\u015fen d\u00fcnyaya uyum sa\u011flamas\u0131 i\u00e7in belli stratejileri \u00f6nceliklendirmesi gerekti\u011fini belirtti.<\/p>\n

G\u00fcrsoy, “EY K\u00fcresel Ekonomik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm 2024 raporuna g\u00f6re, geli\u015fmi\u015f ekonomilerde daha gev\u015fek para politikas\u0131 ve enflasyona g\u00f6re d\u00fczenlenmi\u015f gelir b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcrken, k\u00fcresel gayri safi yurt i\u00e7i has\u0131la (GSY\u0130H) b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin 2024 ve 2025 y\u0131llar\u0131nda y\u00fczde 3’\u00fcn biraz \u00fczerinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi tahmin ediliyor. Tedarik k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar\u0131n\u0131n hafifletilmesi, i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc eksikli\u011finin azalt\u0131lmas\u0131, enerji fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclmesi ve \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 talep b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi gibi fakt\u00f6rlerin enflasyonu kontrol alt\u0131nda<\/b> tutabilece\u011fini s\u00f6yleyebiliriz. Mali ko\u015fullar\u0131n rahatlamas\u0131, y\u00fcksek getirili yat\u0131r\u0131m f\u0131rsatlar\u0131n\u0131 ve i\u015flem hacimlerini desteklerken, sermaye harcamalar\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlayabilir. T\u00fcm bu beklentiler ve geli\u015fmeler do\u011frultusunda da i\u015f liderlerinin ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 olmak i\u00e7in ekonomik faaliyet, yetenek, enflasyon, merkez bankalar\u0131, mali politika ve jeopolitik gibi temel alanlarda yeni d\u00fcnya ger\u00e7eklerine uyum sa\u011flamas\u0131 gerekiyor” ifadelerini kulland\u0131.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

<\/p>\n

Kaynak :\u00a0Bloomberg HT<\/span><\/p>\n

<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Ernst & Young (EY), K\u00fcresel Ekonomik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm 2024 raporunda, k\u00fcresel ekonominin faiz oranlar\u0131ndaki \u00f6nemli art\u0131\u015fa ra\u011fmen dikkat \u00e7ekici bir dayan\u0131kl\u0131l\u0131k g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcrken, 2024’te gayrisafi yurt i\u00e7i has\u0131lan\u0131n (GSY\u0130H) y\u00fczde 3,1 oran\u0131nda \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":71634,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[424,98,90,1165,2194],"class_list":["post-71633","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-424","tag-ekonomik","tag-is","tag-kuresel","tag-rapor"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/71633","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=71633"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/71633\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":71635,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/71633\/revisions\/71635"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/71634"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=71633"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=71633"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=71633"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}