{"id":75450,"date":"2024-09-03T10:24:05","date_gmt":"2024-09-03T10:24:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/?p=75450"},"modified":"2024-09-03T10:24:05","modified_gmt":"2024-09-03T10:24:05","slug":"citi-turkiye-ekonomisinin-3-ceyrekte-daralmasini-bekliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/2024\/09\/03\/citi-turkiye-ekonomisinin-3-ceyrekte-daralmasini-bekliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Citi, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin 3. \u00e7eyrekte daralmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p>Citi T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte daralmas\u0131n\u0131 ve d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte zay\u0131f seyretmesini bekliyor. Ekonomistler erken bir gev\u015feme riskine de dikkat \u00e7ekiyor. <\/p>\n<p>Bug\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131klanan enflasyon verisi sonras\u0131 bir de\u011ferlendirme yay\u0131mlayan Citi ekonomistleri \u0130lker Doma\u00e7 ve G\u00fcltekin I\u015f\u0131klar, \u201cTCMB\u2019nin karma\u015f\u0131k bir enflasyonla m\u00fccadele s\u00fcrecinin yan\u0131 s\u0131ra zorlu bir makroekonomik tablo ve likidite ortam\u0131yla da kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n<p>Raporda \u201cSonu\u00e7 olarak, politika yap\u0131c\u0131lar i\u00e7in ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan stagflasyon benzeri ortam\u0131 y\u00f6netmek muhtemelen daha zor hale gelecektir\u201d ifadesi kullan\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>Ekonomide beklenenden daha derin yava\u015flamayla erken gev\u015feme riskine dikkat \u00e7eken ekonomistler \u201cG\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcze g\u00f6re, ekonomik faaliyetlerde beklenenden daha derin bir yava\u015flama, erken bir gev\u015feme riskini art\u0131r\u0131rken, vergi gelirlerini ve mali konsolidasyon \u00e7abalar\u0131n\u0131 da zay\u0131flatabilir.<\/p>\n<p>Belirtilen zorlu ko\u015fullar\u0131 g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcnde bulundurarak, TCMB\u2019nin kas\u0131m ay\u0131na kadar beklemede kalmas\u0131n\u0131 ve y\u0131l sonunda politika faizini y\u00fczde 45 seviyesinde g\u00f6rmeyi bekliyoruz\u201d de\u011ferlendirmesi yap\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Kaynak :\u00a0<span style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 249, 236); color: rgb(55, 58, 60); font-size: 14px;\">Bloomberg HT<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"display: block; width: 343.125px; color: rgb(55, 58, 60); font-size: 14px; background-color: rgb(255, 249, 236);\"><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Citi Research, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin ikinci \u00e7eyrekteki yatay b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin ard\u0131ndan, s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fan finansal ko\u015fullar, \u00f6zel t\u00fcketimdeki normalle\u015fme ve ihracattaki zay\u0131flama nedeniyle \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte daralmas\u0131n\u0131 ve d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte zay\u0131f seyretmesini bekliyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":75451,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-75450","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/75450","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=75450"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/75450\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":75452,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/75450\/revisions\/75452"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/75451"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=75450"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=75450"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=75450"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}