{"id":82189,"date":"2024-09-30T21:48:07","date_gmt":"2024-09-30T21:48:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/?p=82189"},"modified":"2024-09-30T21:48:07","modified_gmt":"2024-09-30T21:48:07","slug":"almanyada-tuketici-guveni-dusuk-seviyede-istikrar-ariyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/2024\/09\/30\/almanyada-tuketici-guveni-dusuk-seviyede-istikrar-ariyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Almanya’da t\u00fcketici g\u00fcveni d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyede istikrar ar\u0131yor"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

Merkezi Almanya’da bulunan pazar ara\u015ft\u0131rma \u015firketi GfK ile Nuremberg Piyasa Kararlar\u0131 Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc taraf\u0131ndan haz\u0131rlanan gelecek aya y\u00f6nelik T\u00fcketici G\u00fcven Endeksi sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131.<\/p>\n

Buna g\u00f6re, eyl\u00fcl i\u00e7in eksi 21,9 puan olarak \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fclen T\u00fcketici G\u00fcven Endeksi’nin, ekim ay\u0131 i\u00e7in 0,7 puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015fla eksi 21,2 puana y\u00fckseldi. B\u00f6ylece, endeks eksi 21,2 puanla, uzun vadeli ortalama 10 puan de\u011ferinin olduk\u00e7a alt\u0131nda<\/b> kalmaya devam etti.<\/p>\n

Buna kar\u015f\u0131n beklenti, endeksin eksi 22,5 olmas\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcndeydi.<\/p>\n

NIM T\u00fcketici Ara\u015ft\u0131rmac\u0131lar\u0131 uzman\u0131 Rolf Buerkl, verilere ili\u015fkin de\u011ferlendirmesinde, \u00fclkede biraz iyile\u015fen t\u00fcketici g\u00fcveninin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck bir seviyede istikrar kazand\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

Buerkl, \u201cT\u00fcketici g\u00fcveni, eksi 21 puan\u0131n \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc Haziran 2024\u2019ten beri y\u00fckselme kaydetmedi. Bu nedenle hafif art\u0131\u015f, g\u00f6zle g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcr bir toparlanman\u0131n ba\u015flang\u0131c\u0131 olarak yorumlanamaz. T\u00fcketiciler aras\u0131ndaki mevcut ruh hali genel olarak bunun i\u00e7in fazla istikrars\u0131z. Sava\u015flar, krizler ve enflasyon gibi bilinen olumsuz etkenlerin yan\u0131 s\u0131ra, i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131 da son aylarda yeniden bir etken haline geldi.” ifadelerini kulland\u0131.<\/p>\n

GfK piyasa ara\u015ft\u0131rmac\u0131lar\u0131, \u00fclkede i\u015fsizlik rakamlar\u0131ndaki hafif y\u00fckseli\u015fin, \u015firket iflaslar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n ve \u00e7e\u015fitli \u015firketlerin personel azaltacaklar\u0131n\u0131 ya da \u015firketlerinin bir b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc yurt d\u0131\u015f\u0131na ta\u015f\u0131yacaklar\u0131na ili\u015fkin a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131n, baz\u0131 \u00e7al\u0131\u015fanlar\u0131n i\u015fleriyle ilgili endi\u015felerini art\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti.<\/p>\n

Alman ekonomisi yeniden resesyona girme riskiyle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya<\/strong><\/b><\/p>\n

Alman ekonomisi, artan faiz oranlar\u0131 ile konjonkt\u00fcrel r\u00fczgarlar\u0131n ve yap\u0131sal de\u011fi\u015fikliklerin ortas\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcmede zorluk ya\u015f\u0131yor. Ekonomi, y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci \u00e7eyre\u011finde azalan yat\u0131r\u0131mlar nedeniyle y\u00fczde 0,1 k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n

Almanya Merkez Bankas\u0131 3’\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklerken, \u00fclkenin \u00f6nde gelen ekonomik d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnce kurulu\u015flar\u0131ndan Ekonomi Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc (Ifo) de 3. \u00e7eyrekte GSYH’de daha fazla d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn m\u00fcmk\u00fcn oldu\u011funu de\u011ferlendiriyor.<\/p>\n

Alman ekonomisi, 3’\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclme olmas\u0131 halinde teknik resesyona girmi\u015f olacak. Teknik resesyon, “\u00fcst \u00fcste 2 \u00e7eyrek GSYH’de k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclme ya\u015fanmas\u0131” olarak ifade ediliyor. Almanya, 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k iyi bir ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmeden sonra salg\u0131n\u0131n ilk y\u0131l\u0131 olan 2020’de, 2009’dan beri ilk kez resesyon ya\u015fam\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

Alman h\u00fck\u00fcmeti, ekonomide bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 0,3’l\u00fck b\u00fcy\u00fcme bekliyor.<\/p>\n

Ifo, 5 Eyl\u00fcl’de, \u00fclkenin 2024 ve gelecek y\u0131la ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini, zay\u0131f yat\u0131r\u0131m ve sipari\u015f durumu nedeniyle y\u00fczde 0,4’ten s\u0131f\u0131ra d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

Kaynak :\u00a0Bloomberg HT<\/span><\/p>\n

<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Almanya’da bu ay i\u00e7in eksi 21,9 puan olarak \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fclen T\u00fcketici G\u00fcven Endeksi, ekim ay\u0131 i\u00e7in 0,7 puan art\u0131\u015fla eksi 21,2 puana y\u00fckselmesine ra\u011fmen d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyede istikrar aramaya devam etti.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":82190,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[1265,86,185,1882,2126],"class_list":["post-82189","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-alman","tag-buyume","tag-ekonomi","tag-eksi","tag-tuketici"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/82189","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=82189"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/82189\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":82191,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/82189\/revisions\/82191"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/82190"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=82189"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=82189"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=82189"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}