{"id":82817,"date":"2024-10-02T07:00:06","date_gmt":"2024-10-02T07:00:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/?p=82817"},"modified":"2024-10-02T07:00:06","modified_gmt":"2024-10-02T07:00:06","slug":"deutsche-bank-2024te-turkiyede-buyume-yavaslayacak","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/2024\/10\/02\/deutsche-bank-2024te-turkiyede-buyume-yavaslayacak\/","title":{"rendered":"Deutsche Bank: 2024&#8217;te T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;de b\u00fcy\u00fcme yava\u015flayacak"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p>Deutsche Bank T\u00fcrkiye ile ilgili yeni analizinde ekonomik aktivitede yava\u015flama ve enflasyondaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ivmesinin devam\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc.<\/p>\n<p>Deutsche Bank Ekonomisti Yi\u011fit Onay taraf\u0131ndan haz\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 notta s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir olmayan bir geni\u015fleme d\u00f6neminin ard\u0131ndan, i\u00e7 talepteki \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak ekonominin 2024 y\u0131l\u0131nda so\u011fumas\u0131n\u0131 beklediklerini s\u00f6yledi. B\u00fcy\u00fcmede son be\u015f y\u0131lda ortalama olarak yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 5&#8217;lik b\u00fcy\u00fcme yakaland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ifade eden Onay 2024 i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminlerinin y\u00fczde 3 oldu\u011funu belirtti.<\/p>\n<p>Onay, i\u00e7 talepte beklenen yava\u015flama ve para birimindeki reel de\u011ferlenme nedeniyle enflasyonun y\u0131l\u0131n geri kalan\u0131nda daha da d\u00fc\u015fmesini beklediklerini s\u00f6yledi. Bankan\u0131n 2024 y\u0131l sonu enflasyon tahmini ise y\u00fczde 42 seviyesinde. Onay mevcut politika \u00e7er\u00e7evesinin korunmas\u0131 halinde enflasyonun 2025 sonunda y\u00fczde 23 civar\u0131na gerileyece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>Notta para politikas\u0131na ili\u015fkin de\u011ferlendirmelerde yer ald\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n (TCMB) ilk \u00e7eyrekte artan enflasyonist bask\u0131lara hem makro ihtiyati politika tedbirleri hem de faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 yoluyla kararl\u0131 bir \u015fekilde yan\u0131t vererek s\u0131k\u0131 duru\u015funu korudu\u011funu belirten Onay, TCMB&#8217;nin bilan\u00e7o d\u0131\u015f\u0131 y\u00fck\u00fcml\u00fcl\u00fckleri, k\u0131r\u0131lgan beklentiler ve enflasyondaki g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc atalet temkinli bir duru\u015f gerektirece\u011finden, politika faizini son \u00e7eyre\u011fin ortas\u0131na kadar y\u00fczde 50 seviyesinde sabit tutmas\u0131n\u0131 beklediklerini belirtti.<\/p>\n<p>Onay, TCMB&#8217;nin Kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda politika faizini 250 baz puan indirerek gev\u015fetmeye ba\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tahmin ettiklerini politika faizi i\u00e7in 2024 y\u0131l sonu beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 45 oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Kaynak :\u00a0<span style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 249, 236); color: rgb(55, 58, 60); font-size: 14px;\">Bloomberg HT<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"display: block; width: 343.125px; color: rgb(55, 58, 60); font-size: 14px; background-color: rgb(255, 249, 236);\"><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Deutsche Bank Ekonomisti Yi\u011fit Onay, 2024 y\u0131l\u0131nda T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;de ekonomik aktivitenin so\u011fuyaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti. Onay&#8217;\u0131n notunda 2024 i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmini y\u00fczde 3 oldu. Onay, enflasyon taraf\u0131nda ise y\u0131l\u0131n geri kalanda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ivmesinin devam edece\u011fini i\u015faret&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":82818,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[44,2247,1083],"class_list":["post-82817","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-enflasyon","tag-onay","tag-politika"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/82817","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=82817"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/82817\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":82819,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/82817\/revisions\/82819"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/82818"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=82817"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=82817"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=82817"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}