{"id":84394,"date":"2024-10-07T15:48:06","date_gmt":"2024-10-07T15:48:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/?p=84394"},"modified":"2024-10-07T15:48:06","modified_gmt":"2024-10-07T15:48:06","slug":"bofadan-turkiye-enflasyon-tahmini","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/2024\/10\/07\/bofadan-turkiye-enflasyon-tahmini\/","title":{"rendered":"BofA&#8217;dan T\u00fcrkiye enflasyon tahmini"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p>BofA T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisti Z\u00fcmr\u00fct \u0130mamo\u011flu payla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 raporda T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;de Eyl\u00fcl enflasyonunun tahminlerden y\u00fcksek ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\u011fini, \u00e7ekirdek enflasyonun ise stabil seyretti\u011fini belirtti.<\/p>\n<p>Y\u0131l sonu enflasyon tahminini y\u00fczde 42,2&#8217;den y\u00fczde 43,3&#8217;e revize eden kurum &#8220;Para politikas\u0131 duru\u015fundaki s\u0131k\u0131l\u0131k ve baz\u0131 verilerde de g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc gibi yava\u015flayan i\u00e7 taleple beraber enflasyonun son \u00e7eyrekte d\u00fc\u015fece\u011fi konusunda temkinli iyimseriz. &#8221; ifadesine yer verildi.<\/p>\n<p><b>2025 sonu politika faizi beklentisi y\u00fczde 30<\/b><\/p>\n<p>Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131 enflasyon verisinin baz senaryolar\u0131n\u0131 de\u011fi\u015ftirmedi\u011fi ve ilk faiz indiriminin Aral\u0131k&#8217;ta beklendi\u011fi belirtilen raporda &#8220;T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n karar\u0131n\u0131n verilere ba\u011fl\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Enflasyonda daha fazla yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc s\u00fcrpriz g\u00f6rmezsek Aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda 200-250 baz puan faiz indirimi olabilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. E\u011fer veriler hayal k\u0131r\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131 yarat\u0131rsa ilk faiz indirimini gelecek y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde g\u00f6rebiliriz.&#8221; ifadesine yer verildi.<\/p>\n<p>Asgari \u00fccretin y\u0131l sonu enflasyon beklentisine yak\u0131n oranda artmas\u0131 durumunda ayl\u0131k enflasyonun ilk \u00e7eyrekte ge\u00e7ici olarak ivmelenece\u011fi, bu durumda TCMB&#8217;nin k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck ad\u0131mlarla indirimlere devam edebilece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclerek &#8220;2025 y\u0131l\u0131 sonu politika faizi beklentimiz y\u00fczde 30&#8221; ifadesine yer verildi.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Kaynak :\u00a0<span style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 249, 236); color: rgb(55, 58, 60); font-size: 14px;\">Bloomberg HT<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"display: block; width: 343.125px; color: rgb(55, 58, 60); font-size: 14px; background-color: rgb(255, 249, 236);\"><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bank of America (BofA) T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;ye ili\u015fkin payla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 raporda enflasyonun yava\u015flamaya devam edece\u011fini, y\u0131l sonu enflasyon beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 43,3 oldu\u011funu belirtti.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":84395,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[44,1131],"class_list":["post-84394","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-enflasyon","tag-faiz"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/84394","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=84394"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/84394\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":84396,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/84394\/revisions\/84396"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/84395"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=84394"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=84394"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=84394"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}