{"id":85993,"date":"2024-10-14T09:00:09","date_gmt":"2024-10-14T09:00:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/?p=85993"},"modified":"2024-10-14T09:00:09","modified_gmt":"2024-10-14T09:00:09","slug":"almanyanin-birlesmesinden-bu-yana-2-kez-ust-uste-daralma-beklentisi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/2024\/10\/14\/almanyanin-birlesmesinden-bu-yana-2-kez-ust-uste-daralma-beklentisi\/","title":{"rendered":"Almanya&#8217;n\u0131n birle\u015fmesinden bu yana 2. kez \u00fcst \u00fcste daralma beklentisi"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p>Almanya ekonomisi i\u00e7in beklentilerde k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015fme devam ediyor.<\/p>\n<p>Bloomberg&#8217;in d\u00fczenledi\u011fi ankete kat\u0131lan ekonomistler tahminlerini a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc revize etti. Ankete g\u00f6re gayrisafi yurti\u00e7i has\u0131lan\u0131n (GSYH) y\u0131l\u0131n \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011finde y\u00fczde 0,1 daralmas\u0131 bekleniyor. <br \/>\u00dclke ekonomisi, 2. \u00e7eyrekte de bir \u00f6nceki \u00e7eyre\u011fe k\u0131yasla azalan yat\u0131r\u0131mlar nedeniyle y\u00fczde 0,1 k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/p>\n<p>Almanya h\u00fck\u00fcmeti de ge\u00e7en haftaki tahminlerinde bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 0,3 olan b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminlerini y\u00fczde 0,2 daralmaya revize etti.<\/p>\n<p>Almanya ekonomisindeki s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar bir kez daha mercek <b>alt\u0131nda<\/b>. Zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131n nedeni b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde Rusya&#8217;n\u0131n enerji arz\u0131n\u0131n kesilmesi, \u00c7in&#8217;den gelen ihracat talebinin hayal k\u0131r\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131 yaratmas\u0131, otomobil \u00fcreticileri aras\u0131ndaki sorunlar ve nitelikli i\u015f\u00e7i a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan kaynaklan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><b>Birle\u015fmeden beri 2. kez \u00fcst \u00fcste daralacak<\/b><\/p>\n<div>\n<p>2024&#8217;te beklenen daralma, Bat\u0131 ve Do\u011fu Almanya&#8217;n\u0131n 1990&#8217;da yeniden birle\u015fmesinden bu yana GSYH&#8217;n\u0131n art arda ikinci kez daralmas\u0131 anlam\u0131na gelecek. 2023&#8217;te Almanya, y\u00fczde 0,3 oran\u0131nda k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclen tek G7 ekonomisi olmu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n<p>Rabobank analisti Erik-Jan van Harn, \u00fclke ekonomisinde iyile\u015fmeye d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f i\u00e7in net bir kataliz\u00f6r olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131na dikkat \u00e7ekerek &#8220;Dibe vuru\u015f, \u015fimdilik en olas\u0131 senaryo olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor&#8221; de\u011ferlendirmesini yapt\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>2025 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in ise ankete kat\u0131lan analistler y\u00fczde 0,8 b\u00fcy\u00fcme \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor. \u00d6nceki ankette bu oran y\u00fczde 1&#8217;di. H\u00fck\u00fcmet ise 2025&#8217;te y\u0131ll\u0131k y\u00fczde 1,1&#8217;lik bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme ile yava\u015f bir toparlanma bekliyor.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Kaynak :\u00a0<span style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 249, 236); color: rgb(55, 58, 60); font-size: 14px;\">Bloomberg HT<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"display: block; width: 343.125px; color: rgb(55, 58, 60); font-size: 14px; background-color: rgb(255, 249, 236);\"><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bloomberg&#8217;in d\u00fczenledi\u011fi bir ankete g\u00f6re Almanya ekonomisinin 2024&#8217;te daralmas\u0131 bekleniyor. Ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi halinde, \u00fclke ekonomisi, Do\u011fu ve Bat\u0131 Almanya&#8217;n\u0131n birle\u015fmesinden beri ilk kez 2 y\u0131l \u00fcst \u00fcste daralacak.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":85994,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[2678,1604],"class_list":["post-85993","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-almanya","tag-ekonomisi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/85993","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=85993"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/85993\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":85995,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/85993\/revisions\/85995"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/85994"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=85993"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=85993"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=85993"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}