{"id":86470,"date":"2024-10-15T18:36:06","date_gmt":"2024-10-15T18:36:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/?p=86470"},"modified":"2024-10-15T18:36:06","modified_gmt":"2024-10-15T18:36:06","slug":"imfden-kuresel-finansal-istikrar-uyarisi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/2024\/10\/15\/imfden-kuresel-finansal-istikrar-uyarisi\/","title":{"rendered":"IMF’den k\u00fcresel finansal istikrar uyar\u0131s\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

Uluslararas\u0131 Para Fonu (IMF) K\u00fcresel Finansal \u0130stikrar Raporu’nun analitik b\u00f6l\u00fcmlerini yay\u0131mlad\u0131.<\/p>\n

Raporun, “Y\u00fcksek K\u00fcresel Ekonomik Belirsizlik Ortam\u0131nda Makrofinansal \u0130stikrar” ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131yla yay\u0131mlanan b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcnde, enflasyon \u015foklar\u0131 ve artan jeopolitik gerginlikler nedeniyle k\u00fcresel ekonomik sonu\u00e7lar ve politikalara ili\u015fkin belirsizli\u011fin, Kovid-19 salg\u0131n\u0131 sonras\u0131nda daha da artt\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtildi.<\/p>\n

Raporda, y\u00fcksek makroekonomik belirsizli\u011fin; a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc piyasa risklerini art\u0131rarak, t\u00fcketim ve yat\u0131r\u0131m kararlar\u0131n\u0131 geciktirerek ve kredi arz\u0131n\u0131 azaltarak makrofinansal istikrar\u0131 derinden etkileyebilece\u011fi vurguland\u0131.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

K\u00fcresel mali kriz d\u00f6nemindekine benzer \u015fekilde makroekonomik belirsizli\u011fin artmas\u0131n\u0131n hem geli\u015fmi\u015f hem de geli\u015fmekte olan piyasalarda bir y\u0131ll\u0131k reel gayrisafi yurt i\u00e7i has\u0131la b\u00fcy\u00fcmesini ortalama 1,2 puan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrece\u011fine i\u015faret edilen raporda, bunun ayr\u0131ca \u00f6zel ve kamu sekt\u00f6rlerindeki y\u00fcksek bor\u00e7 seviyeleri gibi mevcut finansal k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131klar\u0131n etkisini k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015ftirme e\u011filiminde oldu\u011fu, gelecekteki \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesine y\u00f6nelik riskleri art\u0131raca\u011f\u0131 kaydedildi.<\/p>\n

Raporda, y\u00fcksek makroekonomik belirsizlik ortam\u0131nda finansal ko\u015fullar\u0131n \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde gev\u015femesinin, \u00f6zellikle d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck finansal piyasa oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6nemlerinde gelecekteki \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesine y\u00f6nelik a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc riskleri art\u0131rabilece\u011fi ifade edilerek, ancak yeterli bir makro ihtiyati politika tepkisinin bu etkiyi hafifletebilece\u011fi aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n

IMF’nin raporunda ayr\u0131ca, makroekonomik belirsizli\u011fin etkilerinin, ticaret ve finansal ba\u011flant\u0131lar yoluyla s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131 a\u015farak olumsuz \u015foklar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda bula\u015fma riskini art\u0131rabilece\u011fine de dikkat \u00e7ekildi.<\/p>\n

“Mali politikalarda s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilirli\u011fe \u00f6ncelik verilmeli”<\/b><\/p>\n

IMF yetkililerinin konuya ili\u015fkin kaleme ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 blog yaz\u0131s\u0131nda da belirsizli\u011fin, b\u00fcy\u00fcme veya enflasyon gibi geleneksel g\u00f6stergeler kadar kolay \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fclemeyece\u011fi vurguland\u0131.<\/p>\n

Ekonomi ile piyasa aras\u0131ndaki kopuklu\u011fun, olumsuz \u015fokun ard\u0131ndan finansal piyasa oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131nda ani s\u0131\u00e7rama ve varl\u0131k fiyatlar\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fck d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131na de\u011finilen yaz\u0131da, mali politikalar\u0131n y\u00fcksek kamu borcu seviyelerinin bor\u00e7lanma maliyetlerini art\u0131rmas\u0131n\u0131 ve dolay\u0131s\u0131yla makro finansal istikrar\u0131 tehlikeye atmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6nlemek i\u00e7in s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilirli\u011fe \u00f6ncelik vermesi gerekti\u011fi ifade edildi.<\/p>\n

“Yapay zeka piyasalar\u0131 hem daha verimli ve hem de daha oynak hale getirebilir”<\/b><\/p>\n

K\u00fcresel Finansal \u0130stikrar Raporu’nun “Yapay Zeka Alan\u0131ndaki Geli\u015fmeler: Sermaye Piyasas\u0131 Faaliyetleri \u0130\u00e7in Etkileri” ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131yla yay\u0131mlanan b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcnde de \u00fcretken yapay zeka ve ilgili at\u0131l\u0131mlar\u0131n, sermaye piyasalar\u0131n\u0131n verimlili\u011fini \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde art\u0131rma potansiyeline sahip oldu\u011fu belirtildi.<\/p>\n

Raporda, i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc piyasalar\u0131ndan ve patent ba\u015fvurular\u0131ndan elde edilen yeni kan\u0131tlar\u0131n, sermaye piyasalar\u0131nda yapay zekan\u0131n benimsenmesinin yak\u0131n gelecekte \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde artaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi\u011fine i\u015faret edilerek, fiyatland\u0131rma kal\u0131plar\u0131 ve ticaret dinamiklerine ili\u015fkin analizlerin bu yeni teknolojilerin benimsenmesiyle baz\u0131 piyasalarda tutarl\u0131 de\u011fi\u015fiklikler oldu\u011funu belirtti\u011fi aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n

Yapay zekan\u0131n algoritmik ticaretin daha b\u00fcy\u00fck ve daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kullan\u0131m\u0131yla piyasa yap\u0131s\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fck de\u011fi\u015fikliklere neden olabilece\u011fi kaydedilen raporda, yeni ticaret ve yat\u0131r\u0131m stratejilerinin ciroyu art\u0131rabilece\u011fi ve fiyatlar\u0131n yeni bilgileri giderek artan bir h\u0131zla yans\u0131tmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flayabilece\u011fine dikkat \u00e7ekildi.<\/p>\n

Raporda, yapay zekan\u0131n \u015fu anki kullan\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n, makine \u00f6\u011frenimi ve di\u011fer geli\u015fmi\u015f analitik ara\u00e7lar\u0131n kullan\u0131m\u0131ndaki mevcut e\u011filimlerin bir uzant\u0131s\u0131 oldu\u011fu belirtilerek, daha \u00f6nemli de\u011fi\u015fikliklerin orta ila uzun vadeli bir endi\u015fe oldu\u011funun anla\u015f\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 anlat\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n

Yapay zekan\u0131n finansal istikrar risklerini azaltabilece\u011fi kaydedilen a\u00e7\u0131klamada, ayn\u0131 zamanda; stres alt\u0131nda<\/b> artan piyasa h\u0131z\u0131 ve oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131, opakl\u0131k ve g\u00f6zetim zorluklar\u0131, operasyonel risklerin artmas\u0131 gibi riskleri de getirebilece\u011fi vurguland\u0131.<\/p>\n

Raporda, bu risklerin \u00e7o\u011funun mevcut d\u00fczenleyici \u00e7er\u00e7eveler taraf\u0131ndan ele al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131 ancak \u00f6nemli yeni ve \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclemeyen geli\u015fmelerin ortaya \u00e7\u0131kabilece\u011fi ifade edildi.<\/p>\n

“Yeni tepki mekanizmalar\u0131 tasarlanmal\u0131”<\/b><\/p>\n

\u0130lgili b\u00f6l\u00fcme dair yay\u0131mlanan blog yaz\u0131s\u0131nda da yapay zekan\u0131n en son yinelemelerinin finansal piyasalar taraf\u0131ndan benimsenmesinin risk y\u00f6netimini iyile\u015ftirebilece\u011fi ve likiditeyi derinle\u015ftirebilece\u011fi, ancak ayn\u0131 zamanda piyasalar\u0131 opak, izlenmesi daha zor ve siber sald\u0131r\u0131lara ve manip\u00fclasyon risklerine kar\u015f\u0131 daha savunmas\u0131z hale getirebilece\u011fi belirtildi.<\/p>\n

Finans sekt\u00f6r\u00fc yetkililerinin yapay zeka kaynakl\u0131 ticaretten kaynaklanabilecek “ani \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f” olaylar\u0131na yan\u0131t vermek i\u00e7in yeni oynakl\u0131k tepki mekanizmalar\u0131 tasarlamalar\u0131n\u0131n veya mevcut olanlar\u0131 uygun \u015fekilde de\u011fi\u015ftirmelerinin gerekip gerekmedi\u011fini belirlemesi gerekti\u011fi kaydedilen yaz\u0131da, “H\u0131zla de\u011fi\u015fen bu piyasan\u0131n yak\u0131ndan izlenmesi ve denetlenmesi, finans sekt\u00f6r\u00fc kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n yapay zekadan faydalan\u0131rken risklerini azaltmalar\u0131na olanak tan\u0131yabilecek uygun ve dengeli bir d\u00fczenleyici yan\u0131t i\u00e7in temel olu\u015fturur” de\u011ferlendirmesinde bulunuldu.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

<\/p>\n

Kaynak :\u00a0Bloomberg HT<\/span><\/p>\n

<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Uluslararas\u0131 Para Fonu (IMF) enflasyon \u015foklar\u0131 ve artan jeopolitik gerginlikler nedeniyle k\u00fcresel ekonomik belirsizli\u011fin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirterek, y\u00fcksek belirsizli\u011fin makrofinansal istikrar\u0131 derinden etkileyebilece\u011fi uyar\u0131s\u0131nda bulundu.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":86471,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[1297,5172,395,5171,421],"class_list":["post-86470","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-finansal","tag-makro","tag-piyasa","tag-riskleri","tag-yapay-zeka"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/86470","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=86470"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/86470\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":86472,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/86470\/revisions\/86472"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/86471"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=86470"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=86470"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=86470"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}