{"id":89614,"date":"2025-05-06T01:12:07","date_gmt":"2025-05-06T01:12:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/?p=89614"},"modified":"2025-05-06T01:12:07","modified_gmt":"2025-05-06T01:12:07","slug":"bundesbank-alman-ekonomisi-yavasliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/2025\/05\/06\/bundesbank-alman-ekonomisi-yavasliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Bundesbank: Alman ekonomisi yava\u015fl\u0131yor"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

Almanya Merkez Bankas\u0131’n\u0131n (Bundesbank), ekonomiye y\u00f6nelik yay\u0131mlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 Ekim ay\u0131 raporunda Alman ekonomisinin hala 2022 ortalar\u0131ndan beri devam eden zay\u0131f evrede s\u0131k\u0131\u015fm\u0131\u015f durumda oldu\u011fu belirtilerek, ekonominin \u015fu anda \u00f6nemli, geni\u015f tabanl\u0131 ve uzun s\u00fcreli resesyon anlam\u0131nda bir durgunlu\u011fa girmesinin beklenmedi\u011fi ifade edildi.<\/p>\n

\u0130lkbaharda y\u00fczde 0,1 daralan Almanya\u2019n\u0131n gayrisafi yurt i\u00e7i has\u0131las\u0131n\u0131n (GSYH) y\u0131l\u0131n \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011finde muhtemelen “yine hafif bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f” g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi aktar\u0131lan raporda, “Bug\u00fcn\u00fcn perspektifinden bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, ekonomik faaliyetler d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte durgunla\u015fabilir.” denildi.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Raporda, Almanya\u2019da Avrupa Birli\u011fi uyumlu y\u0131ll\u0131k enflasyonun eyl\u00fclde y\u00fczde 1,8’e d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015f olsa da y\u0131lsonuna kadar tekrar y\u00fckselmesinin muhtemel oldu\u011fu belirtildi.<\/p>\n

Bundesbank’a g\u00f6re Alman ekonomisi, sanayide s\u00fcregelen sorunlar nedeniyle de b\u00fcy\u00fcmekte zorlan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Raporda, \u201cAlman sanayi \u00fcr\u00fcnlerine y\u00f6nelik d\u0131\u015f talep, Almanya’n\u0131n sat\u0131\u015f pazarlar\u0131ndaki \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye ra\u011fmen \u015fu anda \u00e7ok az toparlan\u0131yor. Bu durum Almanya’n\u0131n rekabet g\u00fcc\u00fcyle ilgili sorunlar\u0131n devam etti\u011fini g\u00f6stermektedir\u201d ifadeleri yer ald\u0131.<\/p>\n

Alman ekonomisi yeniden resesyona girme riskiyle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya<\/b><\/p>\n

\u00d6te yandan Alman ekonomisi, artan faiz oranlar\u0131, konjonkt\u00fcrel riskler ve yap\u0131sal de\u011fi\u015fiklikler gibi nedenlerle b\u00fcy\u00fcmede zorluk ya\u015f\u0131yor. Ekonomi, y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci \u00e7eyre\u011finde azalan yat\u0131r\u0131mlar nedeniyle y\u00fczde 0,1 k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n

Ekonomi Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc (Ifo) de 3. \u00e7eyrekte GSYH’de daha fazla d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn m\u00fcmk\u00fcn oldu\u011funu de\u011ferlendiriyor.<\/p>\n

Alman ekonomisi, 3. \u00e7eyrekte k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclme olmas\u0131 halinde teknik resesyona girmi\u015f olacak. Teknik resesyon, “\u00fcst \u00fcste 2 \u00e7eyrek GSYH’de k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclme ya\u015fanmas\u0131” olarak ifade ediliyor.<\/p>\n

Almanya, 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin ard\u0131ndan salg\u0131n\u0131n ilk y\u0131l\u0131 olan 2020’de, 2009’dan beri ilk kez resesyon ya\u015fam\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

B\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmini d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc<\/b><\/p>\n

Ifo, 5 Eyl\u00fcl’de, \u00fclkenin 2024 ve gelecek y\u0131la ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini, zay\u0131f yat\u0131r\u0131m ve sipari\u015f durumu nedeniyle y\u00fczde 0,4’ten s\u0131f\u0131ra d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/p>\n

Uluslararas\u0131 Para Fonu (IMF) da 22 Ekim\u2019de Almanya’n\u0131n bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisini y\u00fczde 0,2’den y\u00fczde 0’a indirmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n

Alman ekonomisi ge\u00e7en y\u0131l da al\u0131\u015f\u0131lm\u0131\u015f\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda y\u00fcksek d\u00fczeydeki enflasyonun sat\u0131n alma g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc etkilemesi, y\u00fcksek enerji fiyatlar\u0131, d\u00fc\u015fen yat\u0131r\u0131mlar, zay\u0131f d\u0131\u015f talep ve faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fcksekli\u011fi gibi nedenlerle bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131la g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 0,3 daralm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

\u00dclke b\u00f6ylece, G7 \u00fclkeleri i\u00e7inde k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclen tek \u00fclke olmu\u015ftu. Almanya, bu y\u0131l da k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcl\u00fcrse, 2023’te oldu\u011fu gibi G7 ekonomileri aras\u0131nda daralan tek \u00fclke olacak.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

<\/p>\n

Kaynak :\u00a0Bloomberg HT<\/span><\/p>\n

<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Almanya Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Bundesbank), Alman ekonomisinin yaz aylar\u0131nda k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclmeye devam etti\u011fini ve son \u00e7eyrekte ekonomik faaliyetlerin zay\u0131f kalmas\u0131n\u0131n beklendi\u011fini bildirdi.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":89615,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[1583,2678,86,185,431],"class_list":["post-89614","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-alman-ekonomisi","tag-almanya","tag-buyume","tag-ekonomi","tag-tek"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/89614","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=89614"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/89614\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":89616,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/89614\/revisions\/89616"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/89615"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=89614"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=89614"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=89614"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}