{"id":91050,"date":"2025-05-10T23:00:06","date_gmt":"2025-05-10T23:00:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/?p=91050"},"modified":"2025-05-10T23:00:06","modified_gmt":"2025-05-10T23:00:06","slug":"almanyada-daralma-beklentisi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/2025\/05\/10\/almanyada-daralma-beklentisi\/","title":{"rendered":"Almanya\u2019da daralma beklentisi"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

Alman Sanayi ve Ticaret Odalar\u0131 Birli\u011fi (DIHK) taraf\u0131ndan yap\u0131lan Alman ekonomisine ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminleri g\u00fcncellemesinde, bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in Almanya\u2019n\u0131n Gayri Safi Yurti\u00e7i Has\u0131las\u0131na (GSYH) ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi y\u00fczde 0\u2019dan eksi 0,2\u2019ye indirildi. Birlik, Alman ekonomisinin gelecek y\u0131l da b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc.<\/p>\n

A\u00e7\u0131klamada, Almanya\u2019da t\u00fcm sekt\u00f6rlerden yakla\u015f\u0131k 25 bin \u015firketle yap\u0131lan ankette, \u015firketlerin y\u00fczde 31\u2019nin mevcut i\u015f durumlar\u0131n\u0131n daha da k\u00f6t\u00fcye gitmesini bekledi\u011fi aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n

Bir \u00f6nceki ankette bu oran y\u00fczde 26 olarak kay\u0131tlara ge\u00e7mi\u015fti.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

DIHK’ya g\u00f6re, \u00fclkede \u015firket yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 hala Kovid-19 \u00f6ncesi seviyelerin \u00e7ok alt\u0131nda<\/b>. \u015eirketlerin \u00fc\u00e7te biri yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 azaltmak isterken sanayide bu rakam y\u00fczde 40’a kadar \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Wansleben: Kal\u0131c\u0131 bir yap\u0131sal krizle de kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131yay\u0131z<\/b><\/p>\n

Alman Sanayi ve Ticaret Odalar\u0131 Birli\u011fi (DIHK) Genel M\u00fcd\u00fcr\u00fc Martin Wansleben, konuya ili\u015fkin de\u011ferlendirmesinde, \u201cAlmanya’da sadece ekonomik bir krizle de\u011fil, ayn\u0131 zamanda kal\u0131c\u0131 bir yap\u0131sal krizle de kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131yay\u0131z\u201d ifadelerini kulland\u0131.<\/p>\n

Almanya\u2019da \u201c\u00e7ok az yat\u0131r\u0131m, \u00e7ok fazla b\u00fcrokrasi ve \u00e7ok y\u00fcksek maliyet\u201d oldu\u011funu anlatan Wansleben, \u201cAlman ekonomisi s\u0131k\u0131\u015fm\u0131\u015f durumda. Avrupa’da ve uluslararas\u0131 alanda geride kal\u0131yor\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n

Wansleben, Alman \u015firketlerin i\u015flerin daha da k\u00f6t\u00fcye gidebilece\u011fi endi\u015fesi ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 aktararak, gelecek y\u0131l i\u00e7in de sadece s\u0131f\u0131r b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklediklerini dile getirdi. Martin Wansleben, \u201c2025 y\u0131l\u0131na ili\u015fkin rakamlar\u0131m\u0131z iyimser olmam\u0131za izin vermiyor. Aksine, baz\u0131 yerlerde \u015firketlerden gelen geri bildirimler i\u015flerin daha da k\u00f6t\u00fcye gidebilece\u011fine dair endi\u015feleri art\u0131r\u0131yor. Bu, gayrisafi yurti\u00e7i has\u0131lada reel b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fcst \u00fcste \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc y\u0131l olacak\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n

Yaz ba\u015f\u0131ndaki zay\u0131f beklentilerin art\u0131k \u201ci\u015f d\u00fcnyas\u0131n\u0131n ger\u00e7ekli\u011fi haline geldi\u011fini\u201d bildiren Wansleben, \u015funlar\u0131 kaydetti:<\/p>\n

\u201cEkonomide bir toparlanma umudu ya da orta ve uzun vadede enerji fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesi veya gelirlerin artmas\u0131 gibi bir ekonomi politikas\u0131 at\u0131l\u0131m\u0131 bu beklentileri ayd\u0131nlatm\u0131yor. Almanya’n\u0131n Avrupa i\u00e7in ekonomik bir y\u00fck haline gelmesinden ve art\u0131k ekonomik itici g\u00fc\u00e7 rol\u00fcn\u00fc yerine getirememesinden b\u00fcy\u00fck endi\u015fe duyuyoruz. Ger\u00e7ek bir yap\u0131sal kriz ya\u015f\u0131yoruz. Y\u00fcksek enerji ve personel maliyetleri, a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 b\u00fcrokrasi ve vergi y\u00fck\u00fcn\u00fcn yan\u0131 s\u0131ra jeopolitik belirsizlikler ve yurti\u00e7i ve yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan gelen talepte bir \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f s\u00f6z konusu.\u201d<\/p>\n

2023\u2019te y\u00fczde 0,3 k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclen ekonomi, 2002 ve 2003’te yaln\u0131zca iki y\u0131l art arda k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/p>\n

Alman ekonomisi yeniden resesyona girme riskiyle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya<\/b><\/p>\n

Almanya, 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin ard\u0131ndan salg\u0131n\u0131n ilk y\u0131l\u0131 olan 2020’de, 2009’dan beri ilk kez resesyon ya\u015fam\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

Ifo, 5 Eyl\u00fcl’de, \u00fclkenin 2024 ve gelecek y\u0131la ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini, zay\u0131f yat\u0131r\u0131m ve sipari\u015f durumu nedeniyle y\u00fczde 0,4’ten s\u0131f\u0131ra d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/p>\n

Uluslararas\u0131 Para Fonu (IMF) da 22 Ekim’de Almanya’n\u0131n bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisini y\u00fczde 0,2’den s\u0131f\u0131ra indirmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n

Alman ekonomisi ge\u00e7en y\u0131l da al\u0131\u015f\u0131lm\u0131\u015f\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda y\u00fcksek d\u00fczeydeki enflasyonun sat\u0131n alma g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc etkilemesi, y\u00fcksek enerji fiyatlar\u0131, d\u00fc\u015fen yat\u0131r\u0131mlar, zay\u0131f d\u0131\u015f talep ve faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fcksekli\u011fi gibi nedenlerle bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131la g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 0,3 daralm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

\u00dclke G7 \u00fclkeleri i\u00e7inde k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclen tek \u00fclke olmu\u015ftu. Almanya, bu y\u0131l da k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcl\u00fcrse, 2023’te oldu\u011fu gibi G7 ekonomileri aras\u0131nda daralan tek \u00fclke olacak.<\/p>\n

Alman h\u00fck\u00fcmeti “B\u00fcy\u00fcme Giri\u015fimi-Almanya i\u00e7in Yeni Ekonomik Dinamikler” ad\u0131 verilen bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme paketi ile ekonomiyi canland\u0131rmay\u0131 hedefliyor.<\/p>\n

Paket, rekabet\u00e7ili\u011fin g\u00fc\u00e7lendirilmesi, b\u00fcrokrasinin azalt\u0131lmas\u0131, daha iyi \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma te\u015fvikleri, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir ekonomi i\u00e7in etkin bir finans merkezi ve yar\u0131n\u0131n ekonomisi i\u00e7in verimli enerji piyasas\u0131 gibi be\u015f alanda 49 \u00f6nlem i\u00e7eriyor.<\/p>\n

\u00dclkenin \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011fe ili\u015fkin GSYH verileri 30 Ekim’de a\u00e7\u0131klanacak.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

Kaynak :\u00a0Bloomberg HT<\/span><\/p>\n

<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Alman Sanayi ve Ticaret Odalar\u0131 Birli\u011fi (DIHK), bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in \u00fclke ekonomisinin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini \u201ckal\u0131c\u0131 yap\u0131sal kriz\u201d nedeniyle y\u00fczde 0\u2019dan eksi 0,2\u2019ye indirdi.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":91051,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[1265,86,185,2145,305],"class_list":["post-91050","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-alman","tag-buyume","tag-ekonomi","tag-iliskin","tag-ulke"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/91050","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=91050"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/91050\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":91052,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/91050\/revisions\/91052"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/91051"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=91050"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=91050"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=91050"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}