{"id":91425,"date":"2025-05-12T05:00:07","date_gmt":"2025-05-12T05:00:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/?p=91425"},"modified":"2025-05-12T05:00:07","modified_gmt":"2025-05-12T05:00:07","slug":"alman-ekonomisi-resesyondan-dondu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/2025\/05\/12\/alman-ekonomisi-resesyondan-dondu\/","title":{"rendered":"Alman ekonomisi resesyondan d\u00f6nd\u00fc"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

Almanya Federal \u0130statistik Ofisi’nin (Destatis), \u00fclke ekonomisine ili\u015fkin y\u0131l\u0131n 3. \u00e7eyre\u011fini kapsayan \u00f6nc\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fcme verilerine g\u00f6re, Almanya’da mevsim ve takvim etkilerinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f gayrisafi yurt i\u00e7i has\u0131la (GSYH), y\u0131l\u0131n 3. \u00e7eyre\u011finde bir \u00f6nceki \u00e7eyre\u011fe k\u0131yasla hane halk\u0131 ve kamu harcamalar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n etkisiyle y\u00fczde 0,2 artt\u0131.<\/p>\n

B\u00f6ylece ikinci \u00e7eyrekteki revize olarak y\u00fczde 0,3 k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclen ekonomi, “\u00fcst \u00fcste iki \u00e7eyrek GSYH’de k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclme ya\u015fanmas\u0131” olarak ifade edilen teknik resesyona girmemi\u015f oldu.<\/p>\n

Piyasa beklentisi, ekonominin y\u00fczde 0,1 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi y\u00f6n\u00fcndeydi.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

\u00d6nc\u00fc verilerle y\u00fczde 0,1 k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclme olarak a\u00e7\u0131klanan ikinci \u00e7eyre\u011fe ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme verisi de y\u00fczde 0,3 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f olarak revize edildi.<\/p>\n

\u00c7eyreklik bazda b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye olumlu katk\u0131 hane halk\u0131 ve kamu harcamalar\u0131n\u0131n art\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan geldi.<\/p>\n

\u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte takvim etkisinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f y\u0131ll\u0131k GSYH art\u0131\u015f\u0131 da eksi y\u00fczde 0,2 oldu.<\/p>\n

Beklenen b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin sa\u011flanamama nedenlerinden biri zay\u0131f d\u0131\u015f ticaret<\/b><\/p>\n

Zay\u0131f d\u0131\u015f ticaret, Alman ekonomisinin beklenen b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi kaydedememesinin nedenlerinden biri olarak g\u00f6steriliyor.<\/p>\n

Alman ekonomisi, artan faiz oranlar\u0131, konjonkt\u00fcrel riskler ve yap\u0131sal de\u011fi\u015fiklikler gibi nedenlerle b\u00fcy\u00fcmede zorluk ya\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Ekonomi ge\u00e7en y\u0131l al\u0131\u015f\u0131lm\u0131\u015f\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda y\u00fcksek d\u00fczeydeki enflasyonun sat\u0131n alma g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc etkilemesi, y\u00fcksek enerji fiyatlar\u0131, d\u00fc\u015fen yat\u0131r\u0131mlar, zay\u0131f d\u0131\u015f talep ve faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fcksekli\u011fi gibi nedenlerle bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131la g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 0,3 daralm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

\u00dclke b\u00f6ylece, G7 \u00fclkeleri i\u00e7inde k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclen tek \u00fclke olmu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n

H\u00fck\u00fcmet, ekonomide bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 0,2 k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclme bekliyor. Almanya, bu y\u0131l da k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcl\u00fcrse, 2023’te oldu\u011fu gibi G7 ekonomileri aras\u0131nda daralan tek \u00fclke olacak.<\/p>\n

Uluslararas\u0131 Para Fonu (IMF) da 22 Ekim’de Almanya’n\u0131n bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisini y\u00fczde 0,2’den s\u0131f\u0131ra indirmi\u015fti. Almanya\u2019da h\u00fck\u00fcmet, b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyen ekonomiye yeniden ivme kazand\u0131rmak amac\u0131yla i\u015f d\u00fcnyas\u0131 ve sendika temsilcileriyle g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler yap\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Alman h\u00fck\u00fcmeti “B\u00fcy\u00fcme Giri\u015fimi-Almanya i\u00e7in Yeni Ekonomik Dinamikler” ad\u0131 verilen bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme paketi ile ekonomiyi canland\u0131rmay\u0131 hedefliyor.<\/p>\n

Paket, rekabet\u00e7ili\u011fin g\u00fc\u00e7lendirilmesi, b\u00fcrokrasinin azalt\u0131lmas\u0131, daha iyi \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma te\u015fvikleri, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir ekonomi i\u00e7in etkin bir finans merkezi ve yar\u0131n\u0131n ekonomisi i\u00e7in verimli enerji piyasas\u0131 gibi 5 alanda 49 \u00f6nlem i\u00e7eriyor.<\/p>\n

Almanya’n\u0131n yap\u0131sal sorumlar\u0131 bask\u0131 olu\u015fturuyor<\/b><\/p>\n

Kiel D\u00fcnya Ekonomisi Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc (IfW) Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Nils Jannsen, konuya ili\u015fkin de\u011ferlendirmesinde, \u201cAlman ekonomisi yerinde say\u0131yor. \u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte GSYH\u2019de y\u00fczde 0,1’lik d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f beklenirken y\u00fczde 0,2 art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. Ancak revize verilere g\u00f6re, ikinci \u00e7eyrekteki y\u00fczde 0,3’l\u00fck d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f daha \u00f6nce bildirilenden y\u00fczde 0,1\u2019den daha b\u00fcy\u00fckt\u00fc. Genel olarak, \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte gayri safi yurti\u00e7i has\u0131la bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n biraz alt\u0131nda<\/b> kald\u0131. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla ekonomik \u00fcretim hem tarihsel hem de uluslararas\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmada zay\u0131f kalmaya devam ediyor\u201d ifadelerini kulland\u0131.<\/p>\n

Almanya’n\u0131n GYSH\u2019sinin \u015fu anda 2019’dakinin \u00e7ok az \u00fcst\u00fcnde oldu\u011funu ifade eden Jannsen, \u201cBu nedenle GYSH son 5 y\u0131lda neredeyse hi\u00e7 artmad\u0131. Kovid-19 pandemisinin neden oldu\u011fu b\u00fcy\u00fck dalgalanmalar\u0131n ard\u0131ndan, ekonomik \u00fcretim 2022’nin ba\u015f\u0131ndan beri a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 yukar\u0131 durgunla\u015ft\u0131. Bu da gayrisafi yurti\u00e7i has\u0131lan\u0131n 2019’a kadar kaydedilen b\u00fcy\u00fcme trendinin \u00e7ok gerisinde kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 anlam\u0131na geliyor. Alman ekonomisi de di\u011fer \u00fclkelerin gerisinde kal\u0131yor\u201d bilgisini payla\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

Jannsen, “Hem ge\u00e7ici hem de yap\u0131sal fakt\u00f6rler ekonomik faaliyet \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 olu\u015fturmakta. Y\u00fcksek faizler gibi ge\u00e7ici olumsuz fakt\u00f6rlerin azalmas\u0131yla birlikte \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 bir toparlanman\u0131n ba\u015flamas\u0131 muhtemel. \u00d6zellikle yap\u0131sal sorunlar\u0131n Alman ekonomisi \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 olu\u015fturdu\u011funa ve Alman \u015firketlerinin rekabet g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn azald\u0131\u011f\u0131na dair i\u015faretler de artmakta. Sanayi \u00fcretimindeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filimi ve son zamanlarda k\u00fcresel ticaret rakamlar\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7ok gerisinde kalan zay\u0131f mal ihracat\u0131 bunun belirtileri. Ekonomik bir toparlanma, Alman ekonomisinin eski b\u00fcy\u00fcme patikas\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7ok gerisinde kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 ger\u00e7e\u011fini de\u011fi\u015ftirmeyecektir\u201d de\u011ferlendirmesini yapt\u0131.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

<\/p>\n

Kaynak :\u00a0Bloomberg HT<\/span><\/p>\n

<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Almanya ekonomisi, bu y\u0131l\u0131n \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011finde y\u00fczde 0,2 b\u00fcy\u00fcyerek teknik resesyondan kurtuldu.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":91426,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[2678,86,445,185,305],"class_list":["post-91425","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-almanya","tag-buyume","tag-ceyrek","tag-ekonomi","tag-ulke"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/91425","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=91425"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/91425\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":91427,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/91425\/revisions\/91427"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/91426"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=91425"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=91425"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=91425"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}