{"id":92518,"date":"2025-05-16T02:36:06","date_gmt":"2025-05-16T02:36:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/?p=92518"},"modified":"2025-05-16T02:36:06","modified_gmt":"2025-05-16T02:36:06","slug":"tcmb-ekonomistlerine-gore-abye-ihracat-neden-zayif-seyrediyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/2025\/05\/16\/tcmb-ekonomistlerine-gore-abye-ihracat-neden-zayif-seyrediyor\/","title":{"rendered":"TCMB ekonomistlerine g\u00f6re AB’ye ihracat neden zay\u0131f seyrediyor?"},"content":{"rendered":"
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T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131’n\u0131n (TCMB) blog yaz\u0131s\u0131nda Avrupa Birli\u011fi (AB) ihracat\u0131 konu edindi.<\/p>\n

Merkezin G\u00fcncesi’nde yay\u0131mlanan yaz\u0131da T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin 2023 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011finden itibaren b\u00fcy\u00fcme kompozisyonu a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan bir dengelenme s\u00fcrecinde oldu\u011fu, di\u011fer yandan, son d\u00f6nemde k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcmedeki g\u00f6rece zay\u0131f seyrin, d\u00fcnya genelinde oldu\u011fu gibi T\u00fcrkiye’de de ihracat performans\u0131n\u0131 etkiledi\u011fi belirtildi.<\/p>\n

TCMB ekonomistleri 2022’nin son \u00e7eyre\u011finden itibaren T\u00fcrkiye’nin AB’ye ihracat\u0131n\u0131n 2010-2019 d\u00f6nemi e\u011filiminin ima etti\u011fi seviyenin alt\u0131nda<\/b> bir seyir izledi\u011fini belirtti.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Ekonomistler \u00f6te yandan, yak\u0131n d\u00f6nemde AB d\u0131\u015f\u0131na yap\u0131lan ihracat\u0131n artmas\u0131n\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin toplam ihracat\u0131n\u0131n gerilemesini engelledi\u011fini, bu durumun AB\u2019ye yap\u0131lan ihracat performans\u0131n\u0131n zay\u0131flamas\u0131nda AB kaynakl\u0131 etkilerin de rol oynad\u0131\u011f\u0131na dair bir i\u015faret olarak de\u011ferlendirilebilece\u011fini belirtti.<\/p>\n

Ekonomistlere g\u00f6re AB\u2019deki yak\u0131n d\u00f6nem ithalat dinamiklerine ili\u015fkin yap\u0131lan \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar, ithalat\u0131n milli gelir esnekli\u011findeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn birka\u00e7 fakt\u00f6rden kaynakland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ortaya koyuyor.<\/p>\n

AB’ye ihracatta zay\u0131f seyrin nedenleri<\/strong><\/b><\/p>\n

Bu fakt\u00f6rler aras\u0131nda, talep kompozisyonundaki de\u011fi\u015fim ve stoklardaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f yer al\u0131yor. Ayr\u0131ca, \u00f6zel t\u00fcketimin mallardan hizmetlere y\u00f6nelmesinin de ithalat\u0131n milli gelir esnekli\u011findeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe katk\u0131 sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ifade ediliyor. Bu kapsamda, ekonomistler son d\u00f6nemde T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin AB\u2019ye ihracat\u0131ndaki seyirde, AB ekonomisinde salg\u0131n sonras\u0131 olu\u015fan de\u011fi\u015fimlerin etkili olabilece\u011fini belirtti.<\/p>\n

TCMB ekonomistleri son d\u00f6nemde AB\u2019ye yap\u0131lan ihracattaki zay\u0131f seyrin AB milli gelirinin salg\u0131n \u00f6ncesi trendinin alt\u0131nda kalmas\u0131 ve ithalat\u0131n gelir esnekli\u011findeki azalma ile ili\u015fkilendirilebilece\u011fini belirtti.<\/p>\n

Di\u011fer yandan, uluslararas\u0131 kurumlar\u0131n ve yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 kurulu\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n tahminlerine g\u00f6re, gelecek d\u00f6nemde AB\u2019de hem milli gelir b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin kademeli olarak artmas\u0131 hem de AB ithalat\u0131n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin milli gelir b\u00fcy\u00fcmesine oran\u0131n\u0131n tarihi ortalamalara yak\u0131nsamas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n

Ekonomistler bu durumun T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin AB\u2019ye ihracat\u0131n\u0131 destekleyece\u011fini ve pazar pay\u0131ndaki olumlu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmle birlikte AB\u2019ye ihracat\u0131n artmaya devam edece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

Kaynak :\u00a0Bloomberg HT<\/span><\/p>\n

<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131 (TCMB) ekonomistleri bankan\u0131n blog yaz\u0131s\u0131nda T\u00fcrkiye’nin Avrupa Birli\u011fi’ne (AB) y\u00f6nelik ihracat\u0131n\u0131 ele ald\u0131. Yaz\u0131da son d\u00f6nemde AB\u2019ye yap\u0131lan ihracattaki zay\u0131f seyrin, AB milli gelirinin salg\u0131n \u00f6ncesi trendinin…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":92519,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[5495,4492,2182,604,80],"class_list":["post-92518","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-abye","tag-ekonomistler","tag-ihracati","tag-ithalat","tag-turkiye"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/92518","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=92518"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/92518\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":92520,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/92518\/revisions\/92520"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/92519"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=92518"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=92518"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekamu.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=92518"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}